Kerry's wife is a lunatic who is costing him even more votes whenever and wherever she appears.
First off that is not true - UBL was not putting out video tapes every week prior to Tora Bora - In fact there is only two known video's of him put out after Sept 11th 2001 -
Additionally, while UBL did put out videos in the past (prior to 9-11) - That was before we had SOF on the ground hunting him -
UBL is a coward, he is much more concerned with living than putting out propaganda videos - This I am certain of -
It also does not appear like the intelligence community has picked up any reason to believe UBL is dead - No chatter suggesting this, nor any of the thousands of Al Qeade's that we have picked up have "heard of this to be true" -
No information is 100% leak proof over years and years - No way.
Lastly, both Omar (in Afghanistan) and Al Zawahiri are both very much alive and NOT putting out video's (that often) - Omar has not put out ONE and Zawahiri has only put out like two videos and the rest being audio - (the reason for audio over video is very understandable, much less "tells" given away to your location -
Zawahiri has managed to ekk out a survival in the Pakistan no mans region there is no reason not to assume UBL is there as well.
Don't forget also that we have picked up letters to the attention of UBL as well. - Why would Zarqawi in Iraq be writing to UBL if he weren't alive? (that was one of the biggest tells so far - when we intercepted that letter) -
I'll end with the fact that the "shooters" of TF121 (Delta and Devgru guys) aren't in Afghanistan hunting a "no body" - These guys are the tip of the spear and they didn't leave Iraq for no reason at all -
In politics you "follow the money" - In military operations of this sort you "follow the shooters" -