Posted on 09/23/2004 10:40:45 PM PDT by Lando Lincoln
CNN's polling shows that George Bush has a grip on 301 Electoral College votes based on state-by-state polling, with John Kerry fading in the Midwest and his chances of unseating the incumbent fading fast:
President Bush this week reached a symbolic milestone, overtaking Democratic challenger John Kerry in New Hampshire and Iowa to claim more than 300 electoral votes in CNN's weekly Electoral College scorecard.
If the election were held today, Bush would receive 301 electoral votes to Kerry's 237, according to a CNN survey based on state polling as well as interviews with campaign aides and independent analysts. ...
Bush currently leads in 33 states, including the country's entire southern rim (except California) and the mountain and plains regions. Kerry leads in the District of Columbia and the remaining 17 states, including all of the West Coast and most of the Northeast. The two candidates continue to battle for control of the industrial Midwest.
One Democratic strategist gave an interesting analysis: the candidate who controls the Mississippi controls America, a proverb going back to the Civil War. Right now, that candidate is George Bush, who leads in almost every state that borders on the river. Kerry gave up yesterday on Louisiana, Arkansas, and Missouri, and have always led in most other river states. Only Illinois has been solidly Democratic, although recent returns there have indicated it might be back in play, even given the disastrous candidacy of Alan Keyes for the open Senate seat. Wisconsin has turned into an almost certain win for Bush, and Minnesota -- which hasn't gone GOP for thirty-two years -- is a dead heat.
Take a look at this sea of red:
And this assumes that Kerry takes Pennsylvania, which has begun to look more reddish-purple than bluish-purple of late. Minnesota and Maryland have trended GOP the past month as well, and even New York may be within the margin of error. Kerry is in deep trouble.
The email I received does not specify when the poll was taken, but I received the email on 9/23/04.
Was out riding around Naperville, Il. today & saw nothing but Bush/Cheney yard signs. In fact, I've yet to see a Kerry sign in any town around here.
No complacency is right. I don't trust ANY of these polls. I never put it past the media to launch a coordinated fraudulent scheme.
You know, after the Rathergate mess, I don't think people are going to even listen to any more smear against G.W. I really don't think people care about 30 years ago, they care about NOW!
Would like to see a RED Washington State as well!
"CNN:...John Kerry fading in the Midwest and his chances of unseating the incumbent fading fast:"
Boy is that sweeet music.
I'm in Downers Grove and my neighbor and I are the only yard signs (Bush/Cheney) of EITHER party on my street!? Very strange especially since this is Republican DuPage County.
Kerry: FFFFfffffffffffffffft.
Maybe Illinois is closer to Bush than we know? :)
I try really hard to avoid falling into the category of "black helicopter Republican"...
...but I have a passing suspicion that the media may be hyping a Bush lead so that if Kerry shows any forward momentum, they can say "Oh boy, Kerry is moving up in the polls. This one's gonna go right down to the end folks. Stay with us. You don't wanna miss a thing".
My mistrust of the MSM had reached a new high since Rathergate and I wonder how many of these polls are manipulated to produce false results? Has it occurred to anyone that some of these polls may be slightly rigged to lure soke Bush voters into complacency?
Or should I lay off the 'shrooms because I'm sounding too paranoid?
Oh my god, that's great. Needed that, had a bad Friday.
Way to go Sean, keep hammering Kerry. Let's look for Kerry's numbers to plummet even further.
Oh, Kerry's people are pathetic: "Why can't George Bush trust the American people with the truth?"
And to think that Oregon is coming out for Bush -- and that Washington is virtually tied is some polls now.
You're right when it comes to reasonable people.
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