ARRRRGGGGGGGGG !!!!
Okay, I think it's polloganda, but I'll *act* like its true ...
work like the dickens to HELP BUSH WIN.
One of those "interactive" polls the Dems have been juicing?
bush and kerry are not tied in wisconsin or west virgina
This poll is crap.
How close is the race for president? |
Bush | Kerry | Nader | Other | DK | Sep | |
US (weighted) | 47% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 7-21 |
State: | ||||||
Alabama | 54% | 40% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 13-16 |
Alaska | 57% | 30% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 9-11 |
Arizona | 49% | 43% | * | 1% | 6% | 11-14 |
Arkansas | 48% | 45% | 2% | 0% | 5% | 15-17 |
California | 41% | 52% | * | 1% | 6% | 11-13 |
Colorado | 46% | 45% | 3% | 1% | 6% | 10-13 |
Connecticut | 39% | 54% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 12-14 |
Delaware | 41% | 50% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 13-15 |
DC | 11% | 78% | 6% | 1% | 4% | 11-13 |
Florida | 45% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 17-20 |
Georgia | 53% | 42% | * | 1% | 4% | 11-13 |
Hawaii | 41% | 51% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 7-11 |
Idaho | 59% | 30% | 3% | 1% | 7% | 8-10 |
Illinois | 43% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 13-16 |
Indiana | 54% | 39% | * | 1% | 6% | 16-20 |
Iowa | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 12-14 |
Kansas | 57% | 35% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 15-18 |
Kentucky | 57% | 39% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 8-12 |
Louisiana | 50% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 17-21 |
Maine | 44% | 48% | 4% | 0% | 5% | 8-10 |
Maryland | 43% | 52% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 7-9 |
Massachusetts | 27% | 64% | * | 1% | 7% | 10-13 |
Michigan | 40% | 48% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 17-21 |
Minnesota | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 10-12 |
Mississippi | 51% | 42% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 14-17 |
Missouri | 50% | 44% | * | 1% | 5% | 16-19 |
Montana | 60% | 32% | 3% | 0% | 5% | 7-9 |
Nebraska | 61% | 30% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 9-12 |
Nevada | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 12-14 |
New Hampshire | 47% | 45% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 15-17 |
New Jersey | 42% | 50% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 13-16 |
New Mexico | 44% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 6% | 14-16 |
New York | 40% | 52% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 14-16 |
North Carolina | 49% | 44% | * | 1% | 6% | 13-16 |
North Dakota | 62% | 33% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 7-10 |
Ohio | 48% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 17-20 |
Oklahoma | 55% | 38% | * | 1% | 6% | 15-20 |
Oregon | 45% | 47% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 10-13 |
Pennsylvania | 46% | 47% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 15-19 |
Rhode Island | 30% | 58% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 11-13 |
South Carolina | 52% | 40% | 1% | 1% | 7% | 14-16 |
South Dakota | 58% | 39% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 8-12 |
Tennessee | 50% | 43% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 16-18 |
Texas | 58% | 36% | 1% | 1% | 5% | 16-20 |
Utah | 64% | 27% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 10-13 |
Vermont | 40% | 50% | 4% | 0% | 7% | 9-12 |
Virginia | 49% | 43% | * | 1% | 7% | 12-14 |
Washington | 44% | 51% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 9-13 |
West Virginia | 46% | 46% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 14-16 |
Wisconsin | 46% | 46% | 1% | 1% | 6% | 12-15 |
Wyoming | 65% | 29% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 9-11 |
600 completed telephone interviews among likely voters in each state and DC on dates in September (Sep). MOE ± 4 percentage points, 95% of the time. Row totals may not equal 100% due to rounding. |
||||||
ARG is full of crap, no way Ohio is only a 2 point race.
The big one in this poll is Florida. A Must Win for Bush
I just don't believe polls anymore.
These are the same people that had Schwarzenegger in CA having no chance to win last year.
SEE http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry.html
Weighted averages of all polls show Bush well ahead.
yep, Bush up by only 11 in GA? What, were they polling Atlanta?
Actually, the results are not far from other polls. The real difference is that ARG has Penn and Fla going for Kerry each by 1%. That represents a 48 EC point turnaround for Kerry. BFD, there's only one poll that counts.
i have seen other polls today showing a big jump for kerry--not good--but they were based on rassmusan-and zogby
rasmussen...
Election 2004
National Political Tracking Data
Updated daily by Noon Eastern
Last Update Wednesday
Click on Topic for Details
Presidential Tracking Bush 49 Kerry 45
Congress Dem 43 GOP 41
President Bush Job Approval 53
Electoral College Bush 213 - Kerry 204
Updated Weekly
Bush Favorable 52 Unfavorable 47
Kerry Favorable 50 Unfavorable 48
Battleground States Bush 47 Kerry 47
Right Track? Right 42 Wrong 54
Who is a Better Leader? Bush 50 Kerry 37
Trust on Nat'l Defense? Bush 53 Kerry 41
Trust to Manage Economy? Bush 50 Kerry 45
Winning the War on Terror US 47 Terrorists 30
How is Bush handling Iraq Ex/Good 45 Poor 42
How is Bush handling Econ Ex/Good 43 Poor 41
From 2000:
1) KY Gore +6 (Bush won by 16)
2) LA Gore +7 (Bush won by 8)
3) WV Gore +8 (Bush won by 6)
4) TN Gore +6 (Bush won by 4)
a big drop here
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
if you run the mouse over each state you will see what poll it's using
http://electoral-vote.com/
Can we get a real polling firm to do a real poll.
Fiddled--UPDATE: Kerry Spot reader Matthew points out, "If you click on each state of this poll individually, you will see how distorted the polls are. For example, look at Illinois. The sampling is 29% Republicans, and 42% Democrats. And Bush only trails by 6? Same with PA. 42% are Republicans and 48% are Democrats. The poll also is weighted more towards women than men."
Yup, as I look over this, I see Florida is 55 percent women, 45 percent men. Ohio, 54 percent women, 46 percent men.
Also Kerry Spot reader Michael notes that this ARG poll has essentially the same results as the ARG poll completed 9/1, a 47-47 tie.
NRO Kerry Spot
Take a look at Maine,New York,Illinois
These are biased but they seem to validate SUSA
Bush up only 9 in MS?
FOOL PLEASE
BTW - Kerry this week was in Massachusetts, New York and Florida.