Two events have recently occurred in NM that make it unlikely that Bush will win the state in spite of a recent ABQ Journal Poll that shows him ahead.
1. In the past several months a group called "Moving America Forward" has been registering many new voters; maybe as many as 10-20% (or higher percent) of existing voters. The group, a 527 supported by Rat Richardson, focuses on Hispanics and Indians. There already have been documented cases of voter fraud with children and out of state people receiving voter ID's and reporting same to the county clerk offices. There is no requirement that persons voting present an ID at the polls (the Rat controlled legislature has defeated proposals each year) EXCEPT for those who registered by mail. Because of the fraud already documented, some clerks have tried to require ID's be presented, but the Dim controlled courts have ruled against it. See this thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1214404/posts
2. On Friday, a state district court judge kicked Ralph Nader off the ballot because he is running as an independent. Over the weekend, it was revealed that she was a Dim supporter with a recent large contribution to that party. She did not reveal that fact nor did she recuse herself. She may be cited, but higher court justices also are mainly Democrats. Given the large Dim registration advantage and without Nader on the ballot, it is unlikely that Bush can get enough votes by himself to crush Kerry. See this thread:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1220651/posts