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Kerry Spot: Freeper Dales Believes Bush By Three
National Review Online (Kerry Spot) ^ | September 16, 2004 | Jim Geraghty

Posted on 09/16/2004 10:29:11 AM PDT by Bonaventure

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Three points -- close, but not bad.
1 posted on 09/16/2004 10:29:16 AM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: Bonaventure

SAY WHAT!!!!


2 posted on 09/16/2004 10:32:08 AM PDT by Digger
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To: Dales

BTTT..FYI...


3 posted on 09/16/2004 10:32:17 AM PDT by ken5050 (Bill Clinton has just signed to be the national spokesman for Hummer..)
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To: Bonaventure

NRO The Corner is rumoring Gallup due out with Bush up BIG...


4 posted on 09/16/2004 10:34:11 AM PDT by madison46 (Bandwagon was full when it left the gate - I hope it remains too full for frogs & co.)
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To: Bonaventure

I think its more than three points, or will be. He's close in Jersey (or ahead depending on who you believe), tied in Minnesota, way ahead in Wisconsin, barely ahead in PA, and close in New Mexico.

I predict a 55B/43K Bush win with upwards of 330 EV's.


5 posted on 09/16/2004 10:34:33 AM PDT by RockinRight (Vote early, vote often)
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To: Bonaventure

I would like to win by 50,000,000 but I really don't care right now if you win by 50 million or just 1

Just win baby


6 posted on 09/16/2004 10:35:30 AM PDT by skaterboy
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To: madison46

>>NRO The Corner is rumoring Gallup due out with Bush up BIG...<<


Help please.

What/who is NRO and "The Corner"?


Thanks!



7 posted on 09/16/2004 10:36:19 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: madison46

Yeah, I saw that Lowry and Goldberg both claim to have heard the new Gallup numbers look good for W.


8 posted on 09/16/2004 10:36:28 AM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: snarkytart

NRO is National Review Online. It's the digital version of Bill Buckley's magazine. The Corner is NRO's collective blog.


9 posted on 09/16/2004 10:37:05 AM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: Bonaventure

I've said it before I say it again, WORST CASE SCENARIO its Bush by 4 to 5 points.

Personally I think the spread will likely be bigger, but that's my worst case prediction and I'm still sticking with it.

Election day will prove whos right.


10 posted on 09/16/2004 10:37:15 AM PDT by HamiltonJay ("You cannot strengthen the weak by weakening the strong.")
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To: Bonaventure

oh ok..thank you!

Lets hope they are correct!


11 posted on 09/16/2004 10:38:22 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: snarkytart

go to www.nationalreview.com


12 posted on 09/16/2004 10:38:34 AM PDT by Cosmo (Dan Rather is F@$#$ed : F@#$@ed like a horned toad under a moonlit Texas sky.)
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To: Bonaventure
Pollsters are going to dance like a cat in a room full of rocking chairs until the last week of the campaign.

A guy like Dales is going to take a conservative approach until the debates are over.

Gallup, OTOH, has been in this business for 70 years, and its methods are tried and true.

13 posted on 09/16/2004 10:39:58 AM PDT by sinkspur ("Please send me all of your gold-trimmed lace right away"--Cardinal Fanfani)
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To: madison46

Remember the Zogby rumor that had Bush up 8 that wasn't true so everybody chill till we see


14 posted on 09/16/2004 10:40:06 AM PDT by skaterboy
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To: Bonaventure

As long as Bush wins the percentages are secondary. That said, I really hope Bush gets a mandate so that we can hopefully move the country back to conservative ideals.


15 posted on 09/16/2004 10:41:22 AM PDT by 1Old Pro
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To: sinkspur

Dales is smart.He ain't going out on no limb like Sabato,Cook and Zogby did


16 posted on 09/16/2004 10:41:23 AM PDT by skaterboy
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To: skaterboy

Just win. I agree, but to quote Hugh Hewitt "If it's Not Close, They Can't Cheat." Do I believe that the Dems will pull out all the stops to have the dead, felons and illegal aliens vote? Do I believe they will do everything they can to suppress the military vote? Yes, and yes. Should we relax? Hell, no.


17 posted on 09/16/2004 10:41:26 AM PDT by Defend the Second (We are free because we are armed.)
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To: sinkspur

Gallup is my favorite, but I have no basis for that opinion aside from "brand loyalty." Other pollsters may have better techniques. Back in 2000, Zogby looked good, but I seem to remember 2002 was unkind to him.


18 posted on 09/16/2004 10:41:33 AM PDT by Bonaventure
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To: Bonaventure
I followed a composite in the last election, on FR, and it showed a clear Bush win, we all know what happened.

I think that we are 15 days out from some real numbers.

19 posted on 09/16/2004 10:41:42 AM PDT by Little Bill (John F'n Kerry is a self promoting scumbag!)
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To: RockinRight

If the margin were that big, we'd be looking at another 1980.

I don't know about you, but I could live with it. :)


20 posted on 09/16/2004 10:42:04 AM PDT by GiveEmDubya (Keep fighting like we're 10 points down!)
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