Posted on 09/12/2004 9:06:54 AM PDT by Private_Sector_Does_It_Better
Presidential Ballot Bush 48.3% Kerry 45.2% Other 2.3% Not Sure 4.2%
RasmussenReports.com
Sunday September 12, 2004--The Rasmussen Reports Presidential Tracking Poll shows President George W. Bush with 48% of the vote and Senator John Kerry with 45%. The Tracking Poll is updated daily by noon Eastern.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Bush must have had a big margin in the polling done yesterday as Rasmussn runs a three day average.
It's like watching the weather channel with a forecast of 70 degrees, 70 degrees, 70 degrees.
Rasmussen is a Pole? No wonder he is better than Zogby, the Arab.
I imagine Bush steers clear of anyone's pole.
Does anyone know if Rasmussen is a Republican or Democrat?
I thought Rasmuusen had become a NASCAR sponor.
"Rasmussen is a Pole?"
You didin't know???
You must have never heard the joke: "How many Pole's does it take to create a poll that shows Bush and Kerry basically tied day after day after day after...
And then tomorrow it will be back down to 48-48, and then 48-47, and then 47-48, and then 47-47, and then....zzzzzzzzz...
It means nothing to me
After 9/11 and Rathergate,All he can get is 3 up...nooooooooooooooooooooooo way
Right or wrong...isn't the point of a tracking poll to measure small shifts or trends. Using the same methodology every day, Rasmussen is showing a trend for Bush. That's good in my book.
I did not know the person doing the tracking for Rasmussen was polish? What is his or her name?
I think the big thing that can be gleaned from Rassmussen is that dyed-in-the-wool liberals see black where dyed-in-the-wool conservatives see white and vica versa.
Rassmussen had a bad 2000. So he changed his methodology so that that the 2000 polling data would reflect the 2000 results and is applying that methodology to 2004.
He is so fixated on 2000, that his data seems for 2004 looks like 2000 which is a tie.
I think the most telling poll of all is where Kerry is now planning on spending his finite funds. He has cut back on Missouri and Ohio ads, both of which are critical if he has a chance of winning. At this point he is 11-14% behind in Missouri as behind outside the margin of error in Ohio. Looks like he's working on a Hail-Mary pass just to hold on to NJ, post-McGreevey. Some Gore states like WI and NM are also iffy for him. The next battlegrounds to watch are what he does with ad money in Pennsylvania and Florida (a state which he has been forced to skip because of weather).
I agree. I thought he had a lot to throw around because he set fundraising records and all that.
Maine is now a tie according to today's Zogby.
we have been bombarded with Kerry ads here. I dont think they are that effective though, the same old crap... small businesses tax incentives, prevent outsourcing blah blah. The hurricane season though causing devastation and destruction will prove to be a boon to the Bush campaign cos Jeb is getting very high marks in his handling of the situation. Even though its early, I think Kerry might pretty well right off Florida too.
Thats "write" not "right".. sound like a DUer...:)
It's big FOR RASMUSSEN'S TRACKING POLL, yes. But as others have said, I don't put much stock in it. Even Rasmussen himself published an analysis on Sept. 6 putting Bush's true lead at "4-5 points," whereas, on that same day, his TRACKING poll had the Bush lead at 1.1 points (and at a dead heat the following day).
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