Posted on 09/10/2004 4:51:07 PM PDT by My Favorite Headache
Bulletin just came out...Ivan has dropped very suddenly to 927 mb of pressure just before landfall in Jamacia. Homes are being washed into the sea already and an offshore report of a 170 mph gust has been reported....God help these people
Another Drop-926MB
Posted by btsgmdad on 9/10/2004, 7:51 pm
Lastest recon....8pm advisory brings winds to 150mph.
000
URNT12 KNHC 102332
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 10/2331Z
B. 17 DEG 11 MIN N
76 DEG 25 MIN W
C. 700 MB 2436 M
D. 35 KT
E. 184 DEG 77 NM
F. 264 DEG 106 KT
G. 163 DEG 007 NM
H. 926 MB
I. 12 C/ 3058 M
J. 18 C/ 3037 M
K. 11 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C12
N. 12345/70
O. .1 / 1 NM
P. AF984 1509A IVAN OB 29
MAX FL WIND 118 KT SW QUAD 2034Z.
;
Bump.
Ivan now a CAT 5 storm...as of 8 pm
Prayers out to all the people of Jamaica.
wow,, 170 mph gusts,, prayers for the island folks of Jamaica.
Ping!
Father, I call to you! Help these, your children!!
I do not call in vain. You are the God of the storm. But in all things, whether we are here on earth or with you in Heaven, you are still God. May we remember this.
I lift them up to You, Father - your children. Please help them, in Jesus name...
Forward movement is slowing...oh my God...
OH MY GOD! Lord, please protect our coasts,especially Florida!
Hurricane Ivan Intermediate Advisory Number 34a
Statement as of 8:00 PM EDT on September 10, 2004
...Extremely dangerous Ivan strengthens as it approaches Jamaica...
a Hurricane Warning remains in effect for Jamaica and the Cayman
Islands.
A Hurricane Watch and a Tropical Storm Warning remain in effect for
the entire southwest peninsula of Haiti from the border of the
Dominican Republic westward...including Port au Prince.
A Hurricane Watch is effect for Cuba including the Isle of
Youth...and a Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the
South Coast of eastern Cuba from Cabo cruz to Santiago de Cuba.
Interests in central and western Caribbean Sea should closely
monitor the progress of dangerous Hurricane Ivan.
At 8 PM EDT...0000z...the eye of Hurricane Ivan was located near
latitude 17.0 north...longitude 76.2 west or about 80 miles... 130
km...south-southeast of Kingston Jamaica.
Ivan is moving toward the west-northwest near 11 mph...18 km/hr...
and this motion is expected to continue with a gradual decrease in
forward speed during the next 24 hours. This motion is expected to
bring the core of Ivan to near or over Jamaica tonight or early
Saturday and over the Cayman Islands late Saturday.
Reports from an Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 150 mph...240
km/hr...with higher gusts. This makes Ivan an extremely dangerous
category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.
Stronger winds...especially in gusts...are likely over elevated
terrain. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next
24 hours...and it is possible that Ivan could regain category 5
status as it passes Jamaica.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles... 95 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 175 miles...280 km.
The latest minimum central pressure reported by a hurricane hunter
plane was 926 mb...27.34 inches.
Storm surge flooding of 5 to 8 feet above normal tide levels...
along with large and dangerous battering waves...can be expected
near the center of Ivan in the Hurricane Warning area.
Rainfall amounts of 6 to 10 inches...possibly causing life-
threatening flash floods and mud slides...can be expected along the
path of Ivan.
Repeating the 8 PM EDT position...17.0 N... 76.2 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds...150
mph. Minimum central pressure... 926 mb.
For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.
The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
11 PM EDT.
Forecaster Beven
Oh man. Incredible.
Ivan's still a 4. A very strong 4 but still a 4. Winds are 150. Cat 5 starts at 156.
MAX FL WIND 118 KT
Couple of things...the vortex data message shows that this is not a Cat 5 storm, but that actually adjusts too about 95 KT, or CAT 3...
Secondly, 150 MPH is high cat 4, cat 5 starts at 155 MPH....
not that makes a difference, but for clarity...
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