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Bush's "Ownership Society" Already Doomed by his Trade Policies
AmericanEconomicAlert.org ^ | Friday, September 10, 2004 | Alan Tonelson

Posted on 09/10/2004 2:36:36 PM PDT by Willie Green

For education and discussion only. Not for commercial use.

OK, let´s suspend the bashing of President Bush and his Democratic presidential opponent John Kerry for their stupefyingly awful records and platforms on trade policy. Let´s turn instead to how their utter inability to understand America´s globalization challenges will sandbag other major policies they´re pitching. To date, there´s no better example than Bush´s goal of turning America into an “opportunity society.”

Anyone who likes free markets and capitalism, will rightly love the concept of an ownership society; and it´s no wonder that the Republicans are making it a centerpiece of their economic platform (even if most details remain to be filled in).

Ownership´s essence is that the individual knows how to handle resources better and more responsibly than the government. So the crises America faces in, say, health care costs and retirement security are best dealt with by giving Americans “more control over their lives,” in Bush´s words.

If the taxes currently financing government´s gigantic role in these areas are cut, then individual Americans can take the proceeds and purchase their own medical care, and make the investments they find most promising to pay for their golden years. Further, not only are individuals more likely to make the choices best for their circumstances, but they also will have overwhelming incentives to use their windfalls as efficiently as possible. Along with the elimination of costly government bureaucracies, these efficiencies will produce savings for the entire economy.

Ownership society advocates also seek, in the President´s words, to enable more Americans to use tax relief to “own their own home or their own small business,” as well as to choose their own job training program to keep them competitive in the global marketplace.

These ideas are so innovative and optimistic that only gloom and doom liberals and other economic girlie-men would object, right?  Not by a long shot – at least if you pay any attention to the economy and its major features and trends.

Each of Bush´s proposals faces compelling objections on its own terms. For example, are individual investors really supposed to keep up with the nanosecond-by-nanosecond changes in the financial markets? Even most finance professionals fail at this task. Is health care really just like any other good or service, and will consumers really shop for it just like they shop for sneakers or SUVs?

But the biggest obstacle to the ownership society is the steady stripping from Americans of the resources needed to buy control over their lives. And one of the biggest forces behind this worsening incapacity is a trade policy designed to plunge Americans into competition with much lower-paid third world workers, and drive down domestic wages and salaries in the process.

The facts are beyond dispute – except among Washington´s bought and paid for globalization cheerleaders. Adjusted for inflation, total U.S. private sector wages peaked at $8.62 per hour (measured in 1982 dollars), in April, 1978 – scant years after the great opening of the U.S. economy to imports began in earnest. Real manufacturing wages peaked at roughly the same time, at $8.97 per hour. (We won´t bother with public sector wages because they´re not directly set by the market.)

Since these peaks, real private sector wages have fallen 4.4 percent – a performance previously unheard of in American history. And manufacturing wages, which are most affected by international competition, have fallen 5.6 percent. Worse, even though the economy has technically been recovering from the last recession for nearly three years, real private sector wages during this period are up only 0.4 percent, and real manufacturing wages are up only 1.4 percent.

More disturbing, signs keep appearing that the link between work and economic viability is growing weaker in America. Last month´s announcement that the official national poverty rate had risen in 2003 for the third straight year, to 12.5 percent, attracted deserved attention. At least as important, however, is the large and growing number of impoverished Americans who are working Americans. One in every four working Americans today earns less than $8.70 per hour (in 2004 dollars) – the effective federal poverty-level wage. As social policy analyst Beth Shulman wrote on Labor Day in the Washington Post, this trend “undermines our most fundamental [national] ideal: that if you work hard, you can support yourself and your family.”

Far from encouraging greater responsibility-taking, these trends inevitably are creating greater government dependencies. One indication: The share of Americans enrolled in government health-care programs such as Medicare and Medicaid stands at a two-decade high of 26 percent. And as made clear by rising federal budget deficits, the national appetite for public services regardless of the public´s willingness or ability to pay just keeps growing.

It should be obvious to everyone why stagnant and falling incomes will doom the opportunity society. Tax cuts will only marginally help workers who earn increasingly meager wages and, therefore, have less and less taxable income to begin with to cut and transfer to private health and retirement accounts. The idea that these workers will be able to buy a business or a home after tax cuts is downright moronic. Tax cuts will be equally pointless for workers deciding among job training programs if the economy keeps losing job opportunities that can pay a living wage.

In other words, tax cuts and privatization can´t drive U.S. economic policy unless the United States retains, or rebuilds, a meaningful tax base. If President Bush knows how to do this without reversing his outsourcing-centered trade policies, now´s the time to tell us. But that´s unlikely unless his opponents start asking him.

Alan Tonelson is a Research Fellow at the U.S. Business & Industry Educational Foundation and the author of The Race to the Bottom: Why a Worldwide Worker Surplus and Uncontrolled Free Trade are Sinking American Living Standards (Westview Press).


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Government; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: baloneyandbs; buygoldnow; classenvyhatespeech; debt; deficits; eeyore; globalism; goldbuggery; goldgoldgold; goldmineshaft; joebtfsplk; monorailwillsaveus; morebs; ownershipsociety; politicsofenvy; residentbushbasher; thebusheconomy; trade; wishfulthinkingwilly
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To: ARCADIA
Excellent idea, but it would require the U.S. government to start doing their constitutional job of protecting intellectual property.

Right now, U.S. engineers design all kinds of things for which they are not paid since their ideas are immediately stolen by foreign countries.

Americans need to understand that the source of all wealth is the human mind. As a country and individuals, we can no longer afford to give our ideas away for free.

101 posted on 09/11/2004 4:24:43 AM PDT by snopercod (I'm on the "democrat diet". I only eat when the democrats say something good about America.)
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To: Wolfhound777
It's called capitalism. If you are going to compete, yes, you need to lower your wage expectations to their level.

Well, if it is so then I prefer socialism with human face than your Dickensian capitalism. In Communist Poland I have seen a number of cases when people from capitalist Third World countries tried to immigrate to socialist Poland, those who succeeded were very glad they did it.

I will take socialist Sweden over capitalist Salvador in a second.

And you know what? If your project advances further the American people will make the same choice, unless you guys manage to supress them same way as your friends did in Salvador.

102 posted on 09/11/2004 4:34:09 AM PDT by A. Pole (Madeleine Albright:"We are the indispensable nation. We stand tall. We see further into the future.")
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To: Wolfhound777
It's the compounded earnings that will create your wealth.

The prosperity of the entire society cannot be based on compounded earnings or usury. It is based on labor, creativity and wise national policies.

103 posted on 09/11/2004 4:36:47 AM PDT by A. Pole (Madeleine Albright:"We are the indispensable nation. We stand tall. We see further into the future.")
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To: Erik Latranyi
Productivity. By making higher quality goods, faster and cheaper, you offset low-wages.

If you were my student you would not pass.

104 posted on 09/11/2004 4:40:08 AM PDT by A. Pole (Madeleine Albright:"We are the indispensable nation. We stand tall. We see further into the future.")
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To: Wolfhound777
Learn programming, networks, satellites, copmputer aided design, engineering, etc.

Interesting.

105 posted on 09/11/2004 4:46:05 AM PDT by A. Pole (Madeleine Albright:"We are the indispensable nation. We stand tall. We see further into the future.")
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To: snopercod
The wife just went out and bought a new car on credit. Sheesh, at age 60, shouldn't you be able to live within your means?

My friend - 75 years old single man, goes into debt without any scruples and enjoys good life. He told that he is making sure that when he dies someone will be sad (his creditors). :)

106 posted on 09/11/2004 5:11:20 AM PDT by A. Pole (Madeleine Albright:"We are the indispensable nation. We stand tall. We see further into the future.")
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To: Wolfhound777
Let's face it. Not everyone can be a lawyer, doctor, hot programmer, or other professional earning big money. The economy is not losing job opportunities that can pay a living wage. It's creating different job opportunities paying living wages that our public schools just do not prepare our students to do. If you don't adapt, you perish.

Some examples, please, and let's limit it to 4-year college degrees (no MS or PhD.)

107 posted on 09/11/2004 5:32:31 AM PDT by valkyrieanne
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To: Erik Latranyi
If it is OK for capital to flow to those states where wages are lower then why is it wrong for capital to flow to those countries where wages are lower?

Because we are not just a collection of autonomous individuals bumping into each other with social Brownian motion. We are a *country* - a national community - a *society.* I would think on September 11, on this day of all days, we would understand and appreciate the virtue of *patriotism.*

God created all people in His image, but some people have a greater claim on our allegiance than others. First there's our family, then our neighborhood, our city, then our state, and ultimately our nation. If we don't have a nation and a national consciousness, ultimately dead-end jobs for virtually everyone will be the *least* of our problems. You can't protect from invasion that which you do not value. Ask the Romans in the late fifth century AD.

108 posted on 09/11/2004 5:37:18 AM PDT by valkyrieanne
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To: Havoc; All

When a company makes no profit, no work.. That is the way it is and that is the way it is going to be. Unless you want the government to control companies.


109 posted on 09/11/2004 5:39:33 AM PDT by KevinDavis (Let the meek inherit the Earth, the rest of us will explore the stars!)
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To: Ramius
If it is economical to ship a log to China, have it cut into lumber, built into chairs, and the chairs shipped back to the U.S. and delivered to the office of the U.S. Chair company... and do it all cheaper than the U.S. Chair company can do it... Then the fault is not China's. It is ours.

Sure - slaves are always cheaper than free men. Why not save on the transportation costs & just re-institute slavery in the US?

110 posted on 09/11/2004 5:48:00 AM PDT by valkyrieanne
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To: Wolfhound777
I think they will pay the ultimate price due to a piss poor public education system run by the commies at the NEA that think feeling good about yourself is more important than educating students to compete in a dynamic changing world. Let's face it, these kids are ill prepared for entry into the work place.

Not at all - in *some* schools. There's a strong bimodal distribution in what public schools turn out.

It's not online for free, but US News puts out an annual college guide that includes the demographic profiles of various university student bodies. Most "prestigious" universities are made up largely of students from public high schools, with private prep schools a close second. Obviously some schools in the US are preparing students for rigorous study.

Other schools aren't. That's another issue. But our economic problems are not immediately due to "poor public schools."

111 posted on 09/11/2004 5:51:20 AM PDT by valkyrieanne
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To: Erik Latranyi

I don't think you know much about automotive.

There ARE no profits in manufacturing cars. The profits shown by GM this year are related solely to its financing operations (cars and houses.)


112 posted on 09/11/2004 5:59:03 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: FITZ; Erik Latranyi
One reason a country like the USA took to machines was because of limited cheap labor, countries like Mexico with abundant cheap labor had no need in machines and stayed inefficient.

And in the USA, mechanization of the ag. sector is being ignored because of the low price of migrant labor.

Europe has FAR more sophisticated ag. machinery than we do.

113 posted on 09/11/2004 6:02:23 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Erik Latranyi
Anybody who wants to claim that the majority of American Corporate Executives have no allegience to this nation are just misinformed. Most do not want to move jobs overseas. They are forced by lack of innovation, restrictive labor contracts, or restictive regulations

And anybody who seriously thinks that bonus and stock incentives do NOT drive managers to make outsourcing decisions is smoking dope.

The reality is that short-term thinking has led to a dis-investment in machinery, R&D, and quality initiatives (like 6 Sigma) because one can make up ALL that saving by merely going to the slave labor market.

Voila! No big investment dollars, and enhanced profits = Big Bonus and Big Stock option gains.

114 posted on 09/11/2004 6:07:08 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Willie Green
We will remain hostages of the war on terror until we lose our fear of destroying SA and its support of Wahhabism and AQ.

They have caught us in the twin webs of oil addiction and terroism, and they know it.

Invade SA now !


BUMP

115 posted on 09/11/2004 6:09:29 AM PDT by tm22721 (In fac they)
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To: DoughtyOne

List of Lies: addendum

Red China is and will be a huge and growing market for US consumer goods.

Same-o for India.

Free trade makes democracy happen in Communist countries.

There are no intelligent American college students, and in particular, there are no American college students who study mathematics, engineering, or computer science.

It is necessary to have a PhD in Comp Science to write COBOL payroll application programs.

The Japanese lost everything following their disposal of US real estate assets. They are bankrupt as a nation.

Import limits and tariffs had NOTHING WHATSOEVER TO DO with the existence of Japanese auto plants in the USA beginning in the mid-'80's.

All Union members are fat, lazy, and stupid.


116 posted on 09/11/2004 6:15:26 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Wolfhound777
This is an outright fabrication. Almost the entire federal tax base of this country is the top 5% of wage earners. They pay 75% of all federal taxes.

There are no longer any CORPORATIONS which pay taxes?

Who really pays THOSE taxes?

GWB is in a tight spot, you know it and I know it.

117 posted on 09/11/2004 6:19:03 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Wolfhound777

You would make "capitalism" a god.

Abe Lincoln, among others, disagrees when he states that 'labor is prior to capital, and there is no capital without labor.'

(I have the exact quote someplace)

IOW, you have swallowed the KoolAde of those who would reverse the priorities. The fact that the Wall Street Journal agrees with you does not make you correct. It makes THEM just as wrong.


118 posted on 09/11/2004 6:21:27 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Wolfhound777
think it's a moral duty to amass as much wealth as you can

It is becoming clear that you are a DU plant.

Who referred to the 'camel and the eye of the needle'?

119 posted on 09/11/2004 6:24:33 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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To: Erik Latranyi
The Japanese still have the 4th and 5th place market share in the US.

Yup. That accounts for Toyota's #1 position in auto sales/US.

Have you read a newspaper in the last 30 years?

120 posted on 09/11/2004 6:26:07 AM PDT by ninenot (Minister of Membership, TomasTorquemadaGentlemen'sClub)
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