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All to the contrary / Where political 'experts' got it wrong
http://washingtontimes.com/op-ed/20040909-083010-8437r.htm ^ | September 10, 2004 | Barry Casselman

Posted on 09/09/2004 10:24:04 PM PDT by Former Military Chick

To those of us who consider ourselves contrarians, it is the "perfect campaign," as we observe the 2004 presidential contest. Unlike the "perfect storm," it is not necessarily a disaster for anyone but the purveyors of conventional wisdom, the antithesis of contrarian insight.

Just a few words about contrarianism at the outset: It is a discipline of thinking and analysis which assumes that, in most cases, when popular opinion asserts that something is true or will happen, the opposite or contrary will in fact occur. It is most often applied in stock-market investing and politics. It is not an insight or rule that always works, but it works often enough to be very useful to those who properly employ it.

I said it was a discipline because it takes a strong will to resist overwhelming popular opinion -- whether it is held by the public at large, or by a particular group, including experts.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtontimes.com ...


TOPICS: Editorial
KEYWORDS: 2004; contrarians
these guys make mistakes
1 posted on 09/09/2004 10:24:05 PM PDT by Former Military Chick
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To: Former Military Chick

Larry Sabato's having a large helping of crow after rashly predicting Kerry would win the election last month.


2 posted on 09/10/2004 2:42:47 AM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives On In My Heart Forever)
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