Kerry and the Democratic Party are limiting television advertising.

NRO ^ | 09/09/2004 | Jim Geraghty

[nyconse]

If Kerry is truly up by only 4 pts in Jersey...he'd better spend some money there...Also, my sister in Connecticut tells me Kerry may be in trouble in Connecticut.

[TheBigB]

At this rate, CBiaS news will start reporting about how well Kerry is doing in the Battleground states of Massachusetts and Hawaii.

[meatloaf]

We haven't seen a poll from CA recently. Between losses in NJ and possibly CA, Kerry wil be like a wishbone. Something's got to break.

[cripplecreek]

I wonder if some of John Kerrys big money supporters are starting to withdraw their money. After all they didn't get rich by betting on losing horses.

[comebacknewt]

I'm starting to think the most likely outcome is NH flips from Bush to Kerry, but Bush gains WI and NM. Everything else stays the same, and W earns 289 - 249 electoral college victory.

[MEG33]

LOL!

[Blood of Tyrants]

Not to slam your sister, but I'll believe it when I see it.

[keyesguy]

Bush will win Minnesota. I know Minnesota has the liberal history, but the democrats have been losing for several election cycles and will continue to do so. The last statewide Democrat victory was Mark Dayton, who only beat Rod Grams because of relentless attacking of Grams screw up kid by the Star Tribune. Hubert Humphrey's kid lost, Mondale lost, Mondale's kid lost. People are trending away from the old Democrat party.

[nyconse]

I find it difficult to believe...but Connecticut has elected Repubs as gov. and also in the congress. Connecticut was hit hard on 9-11. Many people there work in Finance. Plenty died in the Twin Towers. Almost everyone knows someone who died.

[nyconse]

I think if Arnold could be convinced to campaign in California...we might even put California in Bush's column.

[DmBarch]

Methinks the Kerry staff want to save $$ for six-month transition payments for themselves after Frenchy gets stomped...

[ken5050]

You're missing the manic subtlety of the Kerry campaign. Tey expect that the voters in Missouri, Colordo, et al will vote overwhelming for Kerry in joyous thanks at being spared two more months of endless political ads...

[ken5050]

and de-fang Boxer?...

[boomop1]

Isn't Sid's guy pal David Brock another loser?

[nyconse]

Absolutely true....get rid of that harridan

[Rocket1968]

---I'm starting to think the most likely outcome is NH flips from Bush to Kerry---

I can't even imagine that NH would be a Kerry state. No income tax, no sales tax, the selection for the Free State Movement. Live Free or Die as the state motto. I know it was close in 2000, but it was the only New England State to vote for Bush. New Hampshire will still be in the Bush column.

I also think that Maine has a chance to go for the President. We have a tax-cap initiative on the ballot as well as an anti-hunting initiative. Both will bring out conservative voters. We also have a dim governor and very dim House and Senate. I sense cahnge in the air.

[Publius]

The unspoken comment in this article is that Kerry's campaign is running out of money. The coffers are drying up. This bodes ill for not just Kerry, but for the Democratic Party this fall.

They need a new ticket.

[Question_Assumptions]

One thing to remember about New Jersey is that South Jersey sees all of the ads from the Philadelphia market (parts of North Jersey also see ads from the Allentown area) and both candidates are spending big in Pennsylvania. Bush could taunt Kerry by running some ads in the NYC market or by doing radio buys on New York and New Jersey radio stations.

[nyconse]

Good idea...Jersey people would be fools to elect Kerry. They are in the direct line of fire from terrorists.