[Dog Gone]

I wish I could post a collage of all the model runs and NHC forecasts for Frances. They were almost entirely wildly off until the last 36 hours before landfall.

I remember them.

I think we can conclude with some certainty that tomorrow night in Jamaica is going to be a nightmare. Beyond that, your guess is as good as mine.

[dominic housatonic62]

Yep.

Jamaica is about to get flattened. They're having flashbacks of Gilbert down there. Gilbert had the lowest sea level presure ever recorded in the western hemisphere at 888 millibars. Lowest ever recorded in the atlantic also at 865 I think it was. I remember last time I was down there being struck by the way the palm trees were bent 90 degrees half way up the truck. I don't think it misses Jam but I sure hope it misses Florida. Seems they've had enough punishment for one year.