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To: Bandaneira

QUICK!!!!!!

Run for your lives! The End is Near!


4 posted on 09/05/2004 1:41:32 AM PDT by clee1 (Islam is a deadly plague; liberalism is the AIDS virus that prevents us from defending ourselves.)
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To: clee1

Apparently, four aces were made at the 1989 US Open on the same hole on the same day, just one hour and 50-minutes apart.

Probability Games :

No.of golf courses in the World - 24,000 Accurate
No.of golf rounds per day globally - 2,400,000 Estimate
No.of holes per round - 18
Total holes of golf played per day - 43,200,000
Chances of getting a hole-in-one - 13,000 : 1
No. of aces in a day globally - 3,323

My basic mathematics study (not my greatest subject...) does not extend to advanced probability theory, but the chances of three holes-in-one at the same course on the same day must be astronomical.

Perhaps it is 13,000 cubed, i.e. 1 in 2,197,000,000,000
One in 3 Trillion !!!

Hole of golf played every year = 15,768,000,000
No. of years since a similar event = 15
Holes of golf played in last 15 years = 236,520,000,000

The last figure mentioned is still only 1/9th of the actual probability figure, so the event that took place here in Melbourne really is out-of-the-box so to speak.

Any expert mathematicians reading this post will probably be able to poke big holes through my calculations above. I am interested to know if anyone out there knows how to calculate accurately the true probabilty of the "Three Aces in One Day/Same Course" scenario.

Gee whiz, the golfing planets must be in alignment this month...I wonder what the Master of the Universe's Golf Handicap is ?



11 posted on 09/05/2004 4:18:08 AM PDT by Bandaneira (What's the probability that Moshiach is here right now ?)
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