Apparently, four aces were made at the 1989 US Open on the same hole on the same day, just one hour and 50-minutes apart.
Probability Games :
No.of golf courses in the World - 24,000 Accurate
No.of golf rounds per day globally - 2,400,000 Estimate
No.of holes per round - 18
Total holes of golf played per day - 43,200,000
Chances of getting a hole-in-one - 13,000 : 1
No. of aces in a day globally - 3,323
My basic mathematics study (not my greatest subject...) does not extend to advanced probability theory, but the chances of three holes-in-one at the same course on the same day must be astronomical.
Perhaps it is 13,000 cubed, i.e. 1 in 2,197,000,000,000
One in 3 Trillion !!!
Hole of golf played every year = 15,768,000,000
No. of years since a similar event = 15
Holes of golf played in last 15 years = 236,520,000,000
The last figure mentioned is still only 1/9th of the actual probability figure, so the event that took place here in Melbourne really is out-of-the-box so to speak.
Any expert mathematicians reading this post will probably be able to poke big holes through my calculations above. I am interested to know if anyone out there knows how to calculate accurately the true probabilty of the "Three Aces in One Day/Same Course" scenario.
Gee whiz, the golfing planets must be in alignment this month...I wonder what the Master of the Universe's Golf Handicap is ?
My basic mathematics study (not my greatest subject...) does not extend to advanced probability theory, but the chances of three holes-in-one at the same course on the same day must be astronomical.
In the mid 1990's at the Junior Invitational a junior hit two aces in one round. The first came on the fourth hole -- 230 yards. The second was to a severely elevated green on the eighth hole -- about 165 yards. Five yards off the tee it begins a steep rise to the green. From the tee, you can't see the flag when it's on the back half of the green.
No.of holes per round - 18
Since a Hole-in-one is only possible on a par 3, and there are generally only four par 3's per regulation course, you should adjust that factor from 18 to 4.
On the other hand, many courses are par 3 only. So probably a realistic factor would be "6" or thereabouts.