Big Mo: "The Smell of Panic Is In the Air" (Kerry "Acts, Talks and Looks Like a Punch-Drunk Corpse")

Ace of Spades HQ ^ | 9/4/04 | Ace of Spades

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

I think Bush is now up but not by 11 points. I'd guess he's really up about 4-5 points, and that could quickly change. It sure changed quickly on John Forbes Kerry.

But however much he's up, there's not much doubt that he has all the momentum at the moment.

SurveyUSA has been tracking not "who will you vote for" but "who do you expect to win."

They do this to capture shifts in political momentum-- or at least perceived political momentum, which is of course just a redundancy. In the big liberal cities, Bush has jumped 15-20 points so that about 58-60% of the citizens there now expect him to win.

In Las Vegas, only 55% expect him to win. But in Oklahoma City, 78% expect him to win, which is pretty goshdarn high.

I don't know what this means, but it must mean something: Bush's big speech garnered 28 million television viewers, while the Kerrey's only managed 25. The entire RNC also pulled in more eyeballs than the entire DNC.

The New York Post quotes a "veteran Democratic operative" as saying "The smell of panic is in the air."

Kerry has two problems.

His first problem is his liberal Democratic base. My current pet theory is that both sides of the political aisle have become somewhat radicalized by the twin political shocks of impeachment and the Florida recount, and that partisans in both camps have overly personalized politics. Many of us (myself included) are now cheering on political parties as if they were sports franchises, and we live and fall with each victory and each defeat, just like a dedicated football fanatic might (myself, again, included).

And we're not just cheering to cheer; we all of us now have some personal stake in all of this nonsense. We're not just looking to win elections, but to win arguments, arguments this nation has been having now for ten years. The arguments never get settled, but we're always hoping the next victory will finally give us the personal vindication we're looking for.

At any rate: Kerry's supporters don't just want him to win. They now have an emotional need for him to win, and furthermore, they don't just have an emotional need for him to win the election-- they have an emotional need for him to vindicate them by humiliating Bush and finally proving they were right on Iraq/Impeachment all along.

The problem is that these people are misprioritizing, especially from Kerry's viewpoint. They want validation; he just wants to win a freaking election. They are demanding that he do certain things -- like call Bush AWOL and Cheney a draft-dodger, and, you know, actually announce a clear and coherent position on Iraq -- that help their> cause but not necessarily Kerry's.

And furthermore, since there is emotion riding on the outcome, Kerry could easily be turned on by his supporters the moment he seems to falter. They picked him as their candidate not because they liked Kerry or his policies (whatever they are) but because they hated Bush and wanted Bush humiliated before the world as the AWOLiarThiefWarCriminalFascist he is. They picked Kerry because they thought he'd make a good champion; whether or not he'd make a good ruler is something of an afterthought.

The only thing holding them to Kerry's side is the belief that he can win. When that belief fails, so does their loyalty.

And if it looks like Kerry can't deliver them the delicious vindication they crave, they will turn on him. We won't have recriminations; there won't be time for that. We'll have precriminations, starting in October.

The other problem Kerry has is simpler: Kerry does not perform well when challenged. He can perform adequately, if unremarkably, so long as he's ahead/winning; when he's losing, he acts, talks, and looks like a punch-drunk corpse dripping with sweaty desperation. Some men can portray a winning optimism whatever the circumstances; Kerry isn't one of them.

It's way to early to say "it's over" or any of that. But a big key to Kerry's strategy was to get ahead and stay ahead. Once behind, he becomes a bad candidate with supporters whose anger at him is only surpassed by their anger at the Bushcreature.

The Big Mo is especially big this election, and it just turned like a bitch.

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

Consistently one of the brightest (and, frequently, funniest) of the politically-minded bloggers out there. If you haven't bookmarked him yet, for daily reading: you're wrong. :)

[goldstategop]

When even the liberals expect Bush to win, I hear the fat lady singing. And the polls show Bush winning liberal Washington State, a state that hasn't gone Republican since 1988. Its not just the Big MO' that's being felt by Republicans and Independents. Assuming the President comes out by next week with a 25 point lead - its going to be quiet desperation time on the other side and the partisan media will have to explain why they didn't see the big shift coming.

[backhoe]

To read the latest on the Franchurian Candidate's bizzare exploits, click the picture, goto "last," and work backwards:

If you would like to help the Swift Boat Vets ( as I have, and I urge all to do-- even a few dollars will help ) kindly click on this logo:

If, perchance, the top "click the pic" link is not visible, click here:

-John Kerry- some selected, informative links...--

---

Judge for yourself- see the SwiftVet ads here:

 Swift Boat Ad #3: Kerry's Own Shipmate Calls Kerry on Lie

 The video

The first two ads:

 http://www2.swiftvets.com/index.php?topic=Ads

Take a look at these three short video clips, especially the last one. You will walk away with a heavy heart.

POW'S TELL ABOUT TORTURE

---

Here is a link to page full of video and audio links.
"Stolen Honor" is at the top.

---

The newest SBV ad:

SwiftVets Ad #4: Kerry Trashes Medals -- An Insult to Vets, Say Shipmates

-mediaplayer link--

To read the latest on the Franchurian Candidate's bizzare exploits, click the picture, goto "last," and work backwards:

If you would like to help the Swift Boat Vets ( as I have, and I urge all to do-- even a few dollars will help ) kindly click on this logo:

[Lexinom]

Dukakis lost Washington in '88.

[Keith in Iowa]

The 'Rats are experiencing buyers remorse...

[BunnySlippers]

Consistently one of the brightest (and, frequently, funniest) of the politically-minded bloggers out there. If you haven't bookmarked him yet, for daily reading: you're wrong. :)

No kidding. This is the first I have heard of him but checking it out.

[js1138]

Twenty-five point lead is impossible. That would be 63/37, not counting Nader. No democrat will get less than 40 percent.

Although if Kerry shifts far enough to the right, more dems will shift to Nader.

[AmericaUnited]

The Big Mo is especially big this election, and it just turned like a bitch

The turning point was the Reagan funeral. I posted at the time that I saw the "Hand of Providence" at work, once more using the life/death of that great man for the good of this nation.

[Experiment 6-2-6]

GOOD READ!

[stockpirate]

I don't think that some of the leaders in the Kerry campaign believe he is going to win. Two days ago while watching Fox they interviewed the head of the Kerry campaign in Washington DC, she stated that the reason they were bringing on more campaign staff was becasue this campaign was going to cross the finish line.

I found it very telling that she only beleives they will finish the race, not win!

[goldstategop]

Walter Mondale received 41% in 1984. I think Bush could come close to but not surpass the Reagan figure of 59% in the same year.

[Dallas59]

Factors that helping defeat Kerry:

Swift Boat Vets

American wins at the Olympics

Protesters at RNC

RNC

Events in Russia and Israel

IMO

[js1138]

No, you are misinterpreting the remarks of an illiterate Kerry supporter. Sports and military metaphors are beyond them.

[stockpirate]

No, I am not. What she said has more to do with what she believes on an unconscious level, as in she is not aware yet that she believes this.

[gop_gene]

Factors that helping defeat Kerry:

Swift Boat Vets

American wins at the Olympics

Protesters at RNC

RNC

Events in Russia and Israel

IMO

Plus--Clinton being out of service for the time being. And I'm sure if the political winds continue to blow our way, he'll use his 'recuperation' as an excuse to permanently be out of service for the Kerry camp.

[alwaysconservative]

Great post and great find! I've bookmarked it to my favorites.

[alwaysconservative]

Since when are leftists out of power "quiet"? If only they would be, it would be more tolerable. The sound of their screaming, however, is audible even through my computer screen, LOL!

[KentTrappedInLiberalSeattle]

If you liked Ace... then you just gotta try THIS guy's site, as well:

Protein Wisdom .

Funny, funny stuff! :)

[Robert_Paulson2]

in other words.
the factor that is primarily defeating kerry is.....




reality.

[musicman]

"No, you are misinterpreting the remarks of an illiterate Kerry supporter. Sports and military metaphors are beyond them."

Well maybe kerrys FAVORITE "current" Boston Red Sox player,"Manny Ortiz" would probably be "deeply saddened" by your post.


...BUT I SURE WOULDN'T !!!