Posted on 09/03/2004 11:17:10 PM PDT by bd476
Have the local newscasters picked up the reports yet of heavy flooding in the Atlantic off of the Bahamas?
000 WTNT31 KNHC 040243 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 11 PM EDT FRI SEP 03 2004 ...FRANCES SLOWLY APPROACHING GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... ...HIGH WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUE TO RAKE THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH NORTHWARD TO FERNANDINA BEACH. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST FROM BONITA BEACH EASTWARD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REAMINS IN EFFECT FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER FLORIDA KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY SOUTHWARD TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY. AT 11 PM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF BONITA BEACH NORTHWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.8 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES ...110 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 150 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...STEERING CURRENTS REMAIN WEAK AND SOME ERRATIC MOTION CAN BE EXPECTED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE LARGE CORE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS OVERNIGHT...AND WILL BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BY LATE SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES FRANCES A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 110 MILES...175 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES...325 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 81 MPH WAS RECENTLY REPORTED ON NORTH ELEUTHERA ISLAND. DURING THE PAST HOUR...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AT HOPETOWN ON ABACO ISLAND REPORTED WIND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 69 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 81 MPH AT HOPETOWN. THE SETTLEMENT POINT C-MAN STATION ON WESTERN GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH WITH A GUST TO 75 MPH...WHILE A SUSTAINED WIND OF 44 MPH WITH A GUST TO 52 MPH WERE REPORTED AT THE LAKE WORTH FLORIDA C-MAN STATION. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. A SHIP IN MARSH HARBOR RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE OF 960 MB. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE EYE OF FRANCES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LAKE WATER LEVEL IS EXPECTED IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVEL CAN BE EXPECTED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 12 INCHES...LOCALLY AS HIGH AS 20 INCHES... ARE POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES OVER THE BAHAMAS. SWELLS GENERATED BY FRANCES WILL BE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...26.1 N... 77.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART $$
Heh, and I was just going to suggest it might be joke telling time, LOL!
Their main concern is local conditions, but yes they did, but only mentioned it.
They did just explain the storm surge reductions from 13-18 feet down to 3 - 8 feet. and the fact that Lake Okeechobee is now within a stable rain fall range that is controllable by the dykes and dams. SO they don't now predict it will burst or rise above a tolerable level.
Okeechobee is fed from the kissimmee river on up through Ocala and dumps out of the St. Lucie Inlet. So even if it doesn't directly rain into Lake O, everywhere francis goes on up its path until it gets past Orlando will drain down eventually into lake O to the st. lucie inlet and back into the atlantic.
How are the local pizza delivery places doing? Pizza and Chinese Take-out must be doing a brisk business.
Additionally...
The underwater aquifers have been extrememly low and even dry in places. My pals 'well' will once again spit green water!! If his house is there. :-)
Sorry, I was just making a lame joke.
But good to hear about the lower storm surge. Stay safe.
Everything is closed and a curfew is in place. Nobody allowed in the street, no stores open. After the bull that happened following Charlie concerning poachers and thieves, St. Lucie Sheriff and Martin County Sheriff won't have it.
The bored tv crew just caught a couple of locals in ft. Pierce being handcuffed and hauled away by FPPD. If you don't have a picture ID with a county address, they'll turn you back from the turnpike and I-95 also.
And if they come near my house i get to play with my new S&W40.V :-)
Oooh, just heard a big gust outside! Come on Francis!!!
no problemo! :-)
Doug McIntyre is interviewing a very cool Jazz group "Bed." They are playing some of their music.
Later host Doug McIntyre will be interviewing Julie Dolan of the Satellite Sisters. She's living in Moscow, Russia. Earlier this week she was interviewed about local reaction to the Chechen terrorists strike.
Cool, thanks will go check it out.
000 WTNT31 KNHC 040833 TCPAT1 BULLETIN HURRICANE FRANCES ADVISORY NUMBER 42 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SAT SEP 04 2004 ...FRANCES CONTINUES TO BATTER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM FLORIDA CITY NORTHWARD TO FLAGLER BEACH...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A HURRICANE WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF FLAGLER BEACH TO FERNANDINA BEACH. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO ENGLEWOOD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT ON THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM ENGLEWOOD TO SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY...AND FOR THE MIDDLE AND UPPER KEYS FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR FLORIDA BAY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FRANCES WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES... 70 KM...EAST OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. THIS POSITION IS ALSO ABOUT 125 MILES EAST OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA. FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH ...9 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE LARGE CORE OF HURRICANE FRANCES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY OVER THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE VERY NEAR THE FLORIDA EAST COAST BY LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FRANCES IS A STRONG CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. FRANCES IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN A BORDERLINE CATEGORY TWO/THREE HURRICANE UNTIL LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE MEASURED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 960 MB...28.35 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS... ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF FRANCES ON THE NORTH SIDE OF GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS CAN BE EXPECTED ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE OTHER ISLANDS OF THE BAHAMAS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL IN FLORIDA. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS IS EXPECTED IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED SOUTH OF THE PATH OF FRANCES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD REACH 20 INCHES IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FLORIDA PENINSULA IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES. SWELLS GENERATED BY FRANCES ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES. THESE SWELLS COULD CAUSE DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.6 N... 78.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN $$
Nice that you keep S&W handy. I especially like their canned vegetarian baked beans. Bet they'd taste even better while you're waiting out a huge storm. /smirk off
This is a high class hurrican hunkerin' down solo act.
The charcoal/gas/smoker grill is in the garage. The freezer is full. :-)
Thanks for the ping!
Nothing much here in Ft. Laud, so far.
Looks like Ft. Lauderdale is going to get a boat load of rain pretty soon. Stay dry and stay safe!
TV news said about 65,000 in broward already lost power?
Thanks for the ping.
Blowing some here.
I see the thing has moved at least a little during the night.
Not enough, though.
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