Kerry's own polling has to have shown him this...that's why he's got over the bend.
Exactly. Midnight last night was about one thing, his base. His base is fragile and on shells. It's built on Micheal Moron and anti-war. He CAN'T win with just his base if national security is the issue, it gets him 45% at best. He'll have to spend the next weeks as an attack dog trying to push down Bush's numbers while the Bush campaign runs "Morning in America II". John Kerry meet Michael Dukakis.
Kerry's internal polling data probably explains the 11:30pm rally in Ohio immediately following President Bush's powerful speech. The Kerry Swift Boat is taking in water is how I would best describe it.