Hurricane Frances : 2004-09-03 : Friday Targeting Alert

N/A | 2004-09-03 | Patton@Bastogne

[Patton@Bastogne]

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Hurricane Frances : Free Republic's Friday Discussion Thread (2004-09-03)






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First, Thursday Night's Closing Summary (AlanCarp's Post):


ETA Computer Model - Melbourne strike - taking 24 hours to approach the coast. Arrival 11am Sunday. Takes at least another 24 hours to cross Florida - exiting in the Big Bend region.


GFDL Computer Model - Melbourne strike - similar to the ETA solution. A little quicker to the shore, arriving at 2am Sunday morning.


GFS Computer Model - Melbourne strike, from a lower angle, and still slow to approach, arriving 8am Sunday morning. This is a worse-case solution, creeping up from the West Palm area. Leaves the state via Valdosta (finally) nearly TWO DAYS later!


EURO Computer Model - Melbourne strike (got the trend here?) at 8pm Saturday night. SAME POSITION 24 hours later!! Exits to Panama City in another 24 hours.


UKMET Computer Model - Melbourne (*sigh*) to Tampa in 72 hours (8pm Saturday night state exit). By far the quickest solution, but that's still over the state for a DAY.


NOGAPS Computer Model - Strikes at West Palm Bch (surprise) 2pm Saturday. Exits near Tampa in about 24 hours after that.


The models have converged on the East Coast, but it is expected to be a Very Slow Slog to get there, with EXTREME devastation involved from a lengthy visit from an unruly guest.

Accuweather is guessing three options, the Carolina trek still being possible, but sounds a lot like Options 1 and 2 are close to the model projections above.



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EXCELLENT Hurricane Frances Websites:


HURRICANE ALLEY

U.S. Weather Observers

Hurricane Basics

NOAA Hurricane FAQs

Go here for current traffic conditions in Florida: http://www3.dot.state.fl.us/trafficinformation/




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Patton@Bastogne
Free Republic Member since 1998.



General George S. Patton Jr. Website



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[lainie]

Fri, Sept 3, 2004, 6:43 EDT
With heavy clouds looming, an unidentified
couple check out the surf at Melbourne Beach,
Fla., Friday, as Hurricane Frances looms offshore.
(AP/Palm Beach Post/Paul J. Millette)

[hawkeye101]

Fox was showing a reporter in Florida on the beach, and they accidentally switched back to Shep, and you could see him pointing at someone and yelling, without any sound though.

[lainie]

HAHA someone forgot his particular shade of cheek blusher or what?

[lainie]

listed as 6:48 p.m.

[lainie]

Miami airport

[shezza]

PRAYERS sent for all who live in the path of the storm. May the Lord bless and protect you.

[Patton@Bastogne]

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[My Favorite Headache]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/18/index_slp_m_loop.shtml

Nevermind Frances...and Ivan..and say hello to Jeanne in Central Florida in 16 days....you won't believe this loop.

[Severa]

Ok. Those all loaded for me. (cable modem)
But you're really gonna piss off those of us in dial up land you know that? *L*

[Patton@Bastogne]

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[killjoy]

A few more pictures. Things are getting a little breezy here but the skys are still clear.

[FlJoePa]

This storm is laughing at us.

You really think it's going to move that quickly tomorrow AM Patton?

I was hoping and praying that I might still have electrical power and cable come late tomorrow afternoon in Jupiter to watch my Nittany Lions!

[FlJoePa]

lol...and the Hits Just Keep on Coming, huh MFH?!

[elfman2]

" That's a little like how the flight attendants always remind: your nearest exit might be right behind you. "

You have a twisted mind. I like that.

[nwctwx]

http://www.ianlivingston.com/archived/2004/frances_september1.htm

[Capt_Hank]

I left Stuart yesterday morning at 7:30, the traffic was a nightmare on 75 heading north. I'm in Birmingham, AL now waiting for things to pass. I will head back down on Sunday night. I hope the boat rode it out.

[PJ-Comix]

I left Stuart yesterday morning at 7:30, the traffic was a nightmare on 75 heading north. I'm in Birmingham, AL now waiting for things to pass.

You could have saved yourself a long trip by coming down to Broward. NOTHING much happening here. Low wind and no rain right now. The biggest problem I'm having is that I really REALLY need a drink. DAMN! Why didn't I go to the liquor store earlier? I wanted to get a big bottle of brandy but the liquor store closed up by the time I got there. I am DYING for a drink!!!

[bd476]

Great idea and I share your hope.

[Sam Cree]

Had a couple rum drinks earlier, but am cooling it now in case something funny happens.

Heard loud laughter from next door, where I understand some beer was being consumed in hopes that it could help with the decision on whether to finish putting up the storm shutters.

[PJ-Comix]

I NEED brandy but rum would be great. ANYTHING! Hopefully I can find an open liquor store tomorrow.