[Numbers Guy]

Facts are wrong, Gore got in the 48ish range.. he did not cross the 50% range in 2000... more media propoganda

The model predicts the percentage of the two-party vote, not the overall percentage with all parties included. So you're right that Gore got in the 48% range of all votes, the guy doing the forecast is right that Gore got 50.2% of the two-party vote (to Bush's 49.8%).

[KJacob]

The model predicts the percentage of the two-party vote, not the overall percentage with all parties included

How does this model work in an open election? Was Gore treated like an incumbent?