To: Happygal
if GWB does get 25 per cent, he'll have increased by 6 per cent overall (relatively speaking, about 32 per cent).
The Israel Swing Factor
by Jeffrey S. Helmreich
15 January 2001
[T]he greatest political strength of American Jewry lies in the fact that it is a uniquely swayable bloc . The issue of support for Israel has proven capable of spurring a sizable portion of Jews to switch parties - in large enough numbers to tip the scales in national or statewide elections. Moreover, the "Israel swing vote" is especially open to political courtship because, unlike the interests of other minority groups, support for Israel has long been compatible with traditional Republican and Democratic agendas. By contrast, most other issues (abortion, affirmative action, etc.) cannot be embraced by Republicans or Democrats without alienating certain support bases. A pro-Israel stance runs no such risk. On the other hand, being distinctively unsupportive of Israel can significantly hurt a candidate's chances.
| Year |
Candidate |
% of Jewish Vote |
| 1916 |
|
|
| |
Hughes (R) |
45 |
| |
Wilson (D) |
55 |
| |
|
|
| 1920 |
|
|
| |
Harding (R) |
43 |
| |
Cox (D) |
19 |
| |
Debs (Soc) |
38 |
| |
|
|
| 1924 |
|
|
| |
Coolidge (R) |
27 |
| |
Davis (D) |
51 |
| |
La Folette (Progressive) |
22 |
| |
|
|
| 1928 |
|
|
| |
Hoover (R) |
28 |
| |
Smith (D) |
72 |
| |
|
|
| 1932 |
|
|
| |
Hoover (R) |
18 |
| |
Roosevelt (D) |
82 |
| |
|
|
| 1936 |
|
|
| |
Landon (R) |
15 |
| |
Roosevelt (D) |
85 |
| |
|
|
| 1940 |
|
|
| |
Wilkie (R) |
10 |
| |
Roosevelt (D) |
90 |
| |
|
|
| 1944 |
|
|
| |
Dewey (R) |
10 |
| |
Roosevelt (D) |
90 |
| |
|
|
| 1948 |
|
|
| |
Dewey (R) |
10 |
| |
Truman (D) |
75 |
| |
Wallace (Progressive) |
15 |
| |
|
|
| 1952 |
|
|
| |
Eisenhower (R) |
36 |
| |
Stevenson (D) |
64 |
| |
|
|
| 1956 |
|
|
| |
Eisenhower (R) |
40 |
| |
Stevenson (D) |
60 |
| |
|
|
| 1960 |
|
|
| |
Nixon (R) |
18 |
| |
Kennedy (D) |
82 |
| |
|
|
| 1964 |
|
|
| |
Goldwater (R) |
10 |
| |
Johnson (D) |
90 |
| |
|
|
| 1968 |
|
|
| |
Nixon (R) |
17 |
| |
Humphrey (D) |
81 |
| |
Wallace (I) |
2 |
| |
|
|
| 1972 |
|
|
| |
Nixon (R) |
35 |
| |
McGovern (D) |
65 |
| |
|
|
| 1976 |
|
|
| |
Ford (R) |
27 |
| |
Carter (D) |
71 |
| |
McCarthy (I) |
2 |
| |
|
|
| 1980 |
|
|
| |
Reagan (R) |
39 |
| |
Carter (D) |
45 |
| |
Anderson (I) |
14 |
| |
|
|
| 1984 |
|
|
| |
Reagan (R) |
31 |
| |
Mondale (D) |
67 |
| |
|
|
| 1988 |
|
|
| |
Bush (R) |
35 |
| |
Dukakis (D) |
64 |
| |
|
|
| 1992 |
|
|
| |
Bush (R) |
11 |
| |
Clinton (D) |
80 |
| |
Perot (I) |
9 |
| |
|
|
| 1996 |
|
|
| |
Dole (R) |
16 |
| |
Clinton (D) |
78 |
| |
Perot (I) |
3 |
| |
|
|
| 2000 |
|
|
| |
Bush (R) |
19 |
| |
Gore (D) |
79 |
| |
Nader (G) |
1 |
Source: L. Sandy Maisel and Ira Forman, Eds. Jews in American Politics. (Lanham: Rowman & Littlefield, 2001), p. 153.
24 posted on
08/21/2004 1:44:24 PM PDT by
SunkenCiv
(Unlike some people, I have a profile. Okay, maybe it's a little large...)
To: dennisw; Cachelot; Yehuda; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; ...
If you'd like to be on or off this middle east/political ping list, please FR mail me.
25 posted on
08/21/2004 1:53:25 PM PDT by
SJackson
(We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good, Hillary Clinton)
To: SunkenCiv
Thanks for posting those stats. I am amazed and confused. How does one explain the traditional Jewish support for the Dems?
37 posted on
08/21/2004 6:20:21 PM PDT by
GBA
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