These state polls likely represent JFnK's high-water mark coming after the RAT convention but before the GOP convention. As long as W gets a decent bump in NYC, he is in good shape heading down the stretch. If he gets zero bump, or a negative bump, then and only then am I going to get very worried.
While the democrats call GWB a "deserter" and Dick Cheney a "coward" in an absolutely filthy campaign, you have the republicans as usual not stooping to that level and permitting most Americans to believe they are on the defensive.
I wish I could share your optimism. Bush is in serious trouble and President Kerry is a probability unless we all do some serious get out the vote work. (Especially on election day)
After 9-11 I was very suspicious of all this "unity" talk. I trust libs as far as I can throw them and getting them to do more than give sanctimonious speeches was beyond their self centered being. When the rubber hit the road and sacrifices needed to be made they reverted back to their opportunistic ways. They would rather scare the people (especially the young) into voting for them than actually fighting Islamo-Fascism because that would involve asking people to make difficult choices. Liberals never want to face reality and make difficult choices.
Conservatives need a kick in the pants. Bush has a tough but necessary message to sell and we have got to be the ones to get the message out. Unfortunately I don't see the commitment to Bush (or against Kerry) like the Dems have against Bush.