"When a hurricane is skirting the coast, as Charley was, where it actually makes landfall is impossible to predict, and the NHC never claimed to know where it was going. They posted the results of all of their computer models and liberally sprinkled it with warnings that they could not predict an impact point."
Very true. NHC forecasters tweak the input to their computer models and obtain different solutions...sometimes VERY different solutions The trick is to decide which is the RIGHT solution. It's a tough call, and the stakes are high. I've dealt mostly with tornado and severe thunderstorm warnings, where the decision is made in seconds. High stress, but I love it.
I have enjoyed the thread. One of the best features of FR is to interact with others who CAN THINK! Well, the forecast database is updated for the midnight shift. Time to call it a day. Good night all...
Night smart mesoman7.can we hear from you tom.?