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Exactly. Mother Nature will do as she pleases. I guess these people try, but around here they basically tell us what the weather did yesterday.
But I know as sure as I'm sitting here if my Mom and Dad (in their 70's)were there they would not have left. Old people are like that, it's just too disruptive or something. When we moved them a few years back my Dad was so unnerved it made him physically ill.
I recall a hurricane evacuation recently. If you refused to go they handed you a permanent marker and made you write your name on your forearm. That would sure make me think twice.

I noticed that in light of the past false alarms for evacuation, that this time local government was cutting it close before issuing evac orders.
...To the future, it will be interesting to see how the media, local government and the NHC will handle the two new storms heading for the US and Central America; one of which is now officially a hurricane, the other still a tropical storm.