Posted on 08/14/2004 8:56:28 AM PDT by Owen
Go to the USA Today site, and read their poll which mirrors the Gallup poll. Also this is the SECOND Gallup poll in a row that has Bush leading, and his Job approval above 50%.
To Quote Gallup, "NO President that has polled above 50% Job approval at this point in August, has EVER LOST an election"!
LLS
I was worried too - but I posted this thread the other day in General Interest/Chat. There were some good comments that made me feel much better.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1190433/posts
Sure hope the big "W" gains and maintains at least 10-15% bump after the convention.
Probably wishfull thinking. I believe most minds are already made up and there are only 3-5% undecided making any gains to be within that percentile. That is unless the reputation of the John John team is tarnished enouph to sway the "Anyone but Bushers" to vote for Ralphie Boy or stay at home.
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"Disquieting"
Not to me!
When the liberal polsters use "adults" or "registered voters" instead of "likely voters" .. it skews the numbers to an even race. I think the dems are deceiving themselves.
They think this will demoralize the repubs, make the repubs think Kerry is going to win, and the repubs will give up. WRONG!!
I'm encouraged .. if Bush can still be at 50% after all the trash and garbage the dems have thrown at him .. he can easily win the election.
Get back to DU troll.
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Why are you keeping this DU crap on FR?
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The thing to remember about Rasmussen is that he does admit that he tries to keep his average so it is exactly 39% dem and 35% GOP.
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Is this indeed Rasmussen's turnout model? I had not heard this. On what is it based?
And not to mention that we are far behind in the EC.
These pollsters put this junk out because they don't want anyone to think President Bush is picking up speed and Hanoi john is imploding. They didn't poll me, because they wouldn't like to hear what I have to say. President Bush is a GREAT President and a GREAT Commander-in-Chief.
The day after the election is when he does his 'final adjustment,' like in 2000.
10-15% bump? That just isn't in the cards. If would be nice if he canm just get to 50% and keep Kerry at 45-46%, or so.
Bush tied with Gore at 49% last time. Buchanan and Nader were present. Less this time. Bush probably needs 49.5 to win.
Now that is of the electorate. The polling now allows "undecided". There are none of those on election day, because they either choose or stay home. Of the polled numbers now, Bush at 48 almost certainly wins.
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