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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: ApesForEvolution

The way this thing is acting, Tampa isn't out of the woods yet...


561 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:04 PM PDT by Damocles (sword of...)
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To: Howlin

#554


562 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:05 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: All
REPORT FROM VENICE, FLORIDA (SARASOTA COUNTY) AS OF 1505 EST 040813:

I'm about four miles inland. Sky is currently totally overcast, with some light to medium rain and wind gusts picking up steadily. Wind and rain have definitely increased from half an hour ago.


563 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:14 PM PDT by Joe Brower (The Constitution defines Conservatism.)
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To: Howlin

http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo


564 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:24 PM PDT by mhking
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To: Howlin

Eye of hte storm 5-10 miles off of Santibel Beach...per the live stream I am listening to...


565 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:33 PM PDT by FeliciaCat
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To: Pyro7480; All

I was just looking at the web cam. Too much rain and wind for me to see the beach.

But I'll bet it doesn't look good.


566 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:36 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Damocles

That pick makes me feel guilty for living in Michigan. We are looking for some beautiful weather this weekend...



I was just thinking the same thing about Wisconsin. I'll be out on the lake tonight and tomorrow drinking beer in the sun with my friends. Seems wrong somehow


567 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:38 PM PDT by Dr Snide (vis pacem, para bellum - Prepare for war if you want peace)
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To: commish
WOW..You can see the storm surge coming ashore on the Beach Cam ..amazing how quick the water is rising.

Which one are you watching?

568 posted on 08/13/2004 12:03:40 PM PDT by Nita Nupress ("We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good." Hillary Clinton, 6/28/04)
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To: Damocles

hehe, you're beautiful weather is to blame for this odd situation for August! This type of East Coast Trough is unheard of this time of year. We are in the tropical remnant mess up here in Connecticut, it's been pouring all day.


569 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:12 PM PDT by nwctwx
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To: liz44040
weather channel claiming the eye is 60 m. off the coast of fort meyers?

Bull. Check the local station link - the eye is no more than 15-20 miles out to sea.

570 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:16 PM PDT by mhking
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To: Howlin

Did you get the live stream from their local (FM, CC and N) station?


571 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:22 PM PDT by ApesForEvolution (DemocRATS are communists and want to destroy America only to replace it with the USSA)
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To: ApesForEvolution

My dad's up that way, in Homosassa.


572 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:24 PM PDT by ovrtaxt (*www.fairtax.org* Hate the IRS? Vote for Bush!)
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To: mhking

All of the radar models are turning out to be wrong, its not going north..


573 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:25 PM PDT by gopwinsin04
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To: All

To All Florida Freepers, family and friends:
Wishing you and yours GODSPEED and safe harbor from this
menacing storm.
Praying for your safety. Be careful.
Good Luck!

Best Regards,
Julyman16


574 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:36 PM PDT by Julyman16
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To: Howlin

http://waterbc.wm.llnwd.net/waterbc_netvideo


575 posted on 08/13/2004 12:04:38 PM PDT by hobson
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Comment #576 Removed by Moderator

To: mhking

I can't see it!!


577 posted on 08/13/2004 12:05:04 PM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: ApesForEvolution

Look out Sarasota ... I think I'll call my family there and see if they are prepared.


578 posted on 08/13/2004 12:05:18 PM PDT by maggief
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To: Dr Snide

Well I'm up here in Minny, and ya know, we get our fair share during winter!!!


579 posted on 08/13/2004 12:05:30 PM PDT by HelgaHawk
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Comment #580 Removed by Moderator


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