Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Northern liberal elitists would have probably preferred that my family move into a gubmint subsidized apartment complex.
I guess that explains the federal mortuary team the government sent into Florida.
I'm going to fill up my car, just in case. :-)
Where were their families and friends? Or are we becoming like the French with their lack of fans for their loved ones? Just leave your grandparents to the government to care for?
At 11:00 it was 35 miles south of Wilmington according to the NWS. Maximum sustained winds of 75 mph with hurricane force winds extending outward for 45 miles and moving north-northeast.
A friend of mine couldn't decide if she wanted a place in Florida or North Carolina, so she just got one in each place, really nice mobile "modular" homes. It's really neat.
Were you talking about Pawley's Island last night? I was just down there for a beach music reunion in May.
Some of the Floyd deaths were traffic accidents during the mandatory evacuations, and the victims would have been just fine if they'd stayed home, since the hurricane ended up not hitting where it was predicted to hit.
People were complaining about the officials overreacting and making too many people evacuate, remember?
Yes, I sure do.
As somebody said on these threads last night, some people just like to COMPLAIN about everything; didn't need to leave, didn't tell us in time to leave.....blah blah blah.
I've lived in them --- it's great when you want extra cash and it's interesting how many people with money can be found living in them. I knew a professional couple with no kids who lived in one that was long paid off and the lot rent was very cheap --- I always wondered what they must have been saving their money for.
Charley made a believer out of me and I have lived in FL all my life. We lost power....just came back on. Minor tree damage but nothing structural. Thank you Lord.
I can see having a bumper sticker like that --- for my kids' sake so they'll realize they're going to have to make it on their own.
My family's "beach of choice" is now Huntington Beach State Park just north of PI.
Yet when it's $2 million mansions built on a beach and the mud slides drag them into an ocean, then they have more pity. I sort of don't have too much pity either way because it's all about individual choices --- don't put a mobile home in a hurricane coastal area, don't build a mansion right on the beach and think sand or mud never shifts or changes.
Charley made a believer out of me and I have lived in FL all my life. Came right over on top of me.....I-4 corridor. Just tree damage. But it was wild and wooley last night. Power just came back on.....11:30 est Sat.
>>there are already 150+ DOA at local hospitals <<
Oh no!
I hadn't heard that number...hoping it's not true.....
Finally!
http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.kltx.shtml
Looks like Little River to me.
See 2776; coming at your place and/or us!
I was just talking to a friend of mine who has a place in Orlando AND Fort Macon. Double shot!
What's it coming in as? Praying for yall. Take care.
1500 active National Guard, and 5000 reserves called up to respond to state of emergency in Florida. 400 state law enforcement too. In Charlotte Co., the police dept is non-functional, fire departments--50% of them destroyed.
We came through fine here in DeLand. Couple of trees down, couple of traffic lights out, and I get the day off of work. Other than that we're business as usual really. Fort Myers, Punta Gordo and Port Charles got slammed pretty bad though, around 60 dead in Punta Gordo, so say a prayer for their families. Jenn's dad had trees come down all around his house and one or two on top of it, so we're waiting to hear from him again. We still haven't gotten word from Jenn's brother to see if they made it through ok. Keep us all in your prayers, thanks for the support guys!
Josh
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