Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Thank you.
If she survives that long.
Water that's only 5~6" above your knees doesn't sound like much,
but it doesn't take much to sweep you off your feet if there's a strong current down by your ankles.
I wouldn't stand in that water, at least not if I knew it was being stirred up by a hurricane. No telling when something is gonna swirl by and pull ya down.
I hope you're someplace safe.
Kristin Dodd isn't down there is she?
"The chief meterologist on our local station BayNews9 just said that it could briefly become a category 5."
Pray that doesn't happen.
Mike you heard from Colleen??
No, and I don't have her new phone number.
5.56mm
Ahh, ok...
I was just saying that in general (winter storms included) TWC tends to send their crews to the wrong place when all is said and done.
Thanks! Safe is our primaryu concern and surge is our primary worry.
Both places were formed by hurricanes, looks like they may be destroyed by one now.
Forecasters advising anyone left to retreat to a bathroom and pulling a mattress over your head.
They are anticipating all hell to break loose within the next 60 minutes or so.
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED FOR THE SOUTHEAST U.S. COAST FROM COCOA BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING LAKE OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE ALSO ISSUED FROM NORTH OF THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER TO CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA.
I have some pen shells I picked up on Sanibel on my shelf. To think that it'd be gone is beyond what my mind could grasp.
I really hope that EPCOT dome at Disney World doesn't go airborne. I would bet it's built to withstand 100 mph winds, but if winds gust to 110 then who knows...
"Pat robertson was right! God is going to ZOT Disney World!"
No complaints from me if Disney could absorb ALL the damage.
So...W sends some aid and wins FL for sure..?
W. Better get down there as soon as possible and be visible giving aid quickly. Put him in a rain jacket and helmet and let W. be W. (i.e. post 9/11 at ground zero) and this thing will be over.
My apologies for those effected by this who may see such thinking as cynical but I've learned the other side is and if we want to compete with the Dems. so do we.
God bless everyone in Florida and keep safe
Remember the old John D. MacDonald book...."Condominium?"
Coconuts flying through windshields. Only concrete buildings left standing. Major defoliation......flooding. No power for a month. Pamela was worse than Rita.
"I just got off the phone with my parents in Naples."
I haven't heard from my sister-in-law for about an hour. Last I heard, they were heading inland to stay with some friends. Still in the path of the storm, but away from their house right on one of the canals in Cape Coral.
I hope they call, if they can. I expect cellular communications to go down once the winds arrive.
I've got my fingers crossed.
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