Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
http://www.stormsfury1.com/Weather/TropicalWeather/Charley2004/RadarLoop1.html
(64 Image Loop of Charley)
Everyone who evacuates should turn off electric at the main breaker, water, etc. Take all of your insurance info, mortgage info, passport, check book, and any other documents you need, or that are not easily replaced.
And in addition to that a much larger area of lesser destruction than Andrew had....Orlando area is getting hammered; Andrew crossed the Everglades and then hit a fairly unpopulated area of Louisiana after the big time damage.
Please, please, please, when posting areas please put a point of reference, such as southwest of Orlando, northwest of miami, etc. It is hard to know what area you all are talking about. My daughter moved to Melbourne last week, and I have not idea if these reports are near her or not. Thank you!!!!
Are you back home now? I trust everything is okay?
The storm is going right through downtown Orlando. It doesn't get more specific.
Florida definitely is taking a pounding. I wish this were the last of it, but it doesn't appear to be so.
Again, I say, this is one strange storm.
It's passing a decent distance west of MLB; I'm ICQing with a friend there right now; no hurricane force winds, but power is likely to go soon..transformer flashes. Unfortunately some tornadoes out away from the storm, though...none in Melbourne so far.
melbourne appears to be well south of daytona, away from the track.
Just got home and am trying to catch up.
Brother in Jacksonville...just called him on the way home and they are expecting it to hit in less than an hour but are calm and confident all will be well.
Prayers for our Florida Freepers.
She's getting the winds and rain, for sure.
Melbourne is just east of Orlando.
oh, yahoo maps found a different melbourne.
It's strange for the time of year, but not really strange in the way it ended up. The storm passed over some of the warmest watter in the Atlantic system during its life cycle.
It will have a lot more difficult of a time strengthening once it is out into the Atlantic unless it can get over the Gulf Stream. Even then, the forward speed will keep it below Major Hurricane status in all likelihood.
Orlando had gusts to 105mph with sustained winds as high as 80mph.
Australia?
How's Chris??
I wonder if any rides blew over at Disneyworld?
Daylight is going to reveal a whole lot of damage everywhere.
Hey you! Got home about 5:45pm. Everything is intact! We really were incredibly fortunate this time. I am sending all of my hurricane supplies to our neighbors to the south. It's the least I can do. As I am putting everything back together, I keep repeating, "thank you, God!"
Where is he at now?
Closest to part of my beliefs.
Best example is the World Series game that was cancelled in a city where homosexuality was very common (San Francisco -- 1987, 1988, or 1989 -- the supposed Bay Series between Oakland and San Francisco that was marred by an earthquake).
But I consider it to be part of His Mercy. This happened before the game started, and allowed the game to be re-scheduled. However, it was not fortunate for those on parts of the Nimitz Freeway (where the upper section flatten the lower section).
But then there are the 4 German priests who were near the center of Hiroshima at the time of the bombing that 250 scientists interviewed and wondered why they were still alive -- they should have been dead.
So trying to paint God in a black and white situation just does not work.
The Germans in World War II might still be wondering whose side God was on on June 6, 1944, when one of the worst Channel storms was hitting Normandy, and Germans KNEW the Allies where not stupid enough to enough in such bad weather.
Finally, there is Samuel E. Morrison's account of the trip across the Atlantic that Christopher Columbus could not have had more favorable conditions.
He arrived in the middle of Hurricane season in calm waters...
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