Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Thanks.
Any news on roads for evacuations? Are there any
traffic problems that people need to be aware of?
Is it too late for people to try to leave the East
Coast of Florida (Atlantic side)?
The "orlando bird bath web camera" now shows the both bird baths sitting up right, but on the ground.
Wonder if they fell over?
Nah, I am listening to some feed. IRLP.
The Net Controller is in Texas! I should have brought my Grundig 800 in today and wowed people by picking this all up in CA
And thank God for it. This certainly isn't some sort of competition. But I'm wondering about our folks here on the Outer Banks. If this storm still has steam when it hits the Atlantic, the Outer Banks will get hit by their third hurricane in less than a year.
Thanks Karl. Should have said I used to live there. Live up north now.
I have a cousin in Lehigh Acres, near Ft. Myers.
Any news yet from that area?
LOL - I live on a lake and there are girls out in the middle swimming right now. Eye is about 90 minutes away.
Here are all the counties for Florida....
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/alerts/fl.html#FLC095.MLBTORMLB.225000
Where are you in PA. What did Snyder say?
Get on I-95 and head south?
If elsewhere, they should stay put- because you can't out-guess nor outrun, a tornado.
I dunno, I'm in NC, but I'm listening to the live feed for some Orlando news station (look further up the thread, some kind FReeper provided a link). They showed some footage from Ft. Myers; it was blowing pretty darn hard. They also said an evacuation center full of 1,400 people, the roof came off. And a post office lost a roof.
I don't think Charlie will be much to worry about by the time it gets to NC. However, the TD in the atlantic could be real cause for concern next week.
Kissimmee has some prior bad experience with multiple tornadoes. Sort of a Les Nessman moment but for real.
Hopefully, by the time it gets up here it won't be any more than a "mullet blow", as my dad's people in Carteret Co. would call it.
Charley, which moved out of Southwest Florida around 6 p.m., is still a strong category 4 storm. The storm packed winds of 145-plus mph when it struck Sanibel and Captiva islands around 3:30 p.m., after which it tore through Pine Island, North Fort Myers and Cape Coral.
One woman said Cape Coral "looks like a war zone." Four thousand refugees are standing shoulder-to-shoulder inside Cape High.
Hurricane-force winds stretched from south Collier county northward at least to Charlotte Harbor, where the eye of the storm is now.
Damage is widespread across Southwest Florida. In downtown Fort Myers, the roofs of both The News-Press and the post office sustained damage.
The storm forcing water into the first floors of hundreds of coastal buildings.
Still??
Is it me, or does that thing look like it's still rotating just like a real hurricane?
Its the Day After Tomorrow...The Coming Global Superstorm...the big cheese, the top dog, the numero uno.
The one I remember in 95 was named Erin and the page said the top winds were 43 mph, but they seemed stronger than that.
Orlando: 150 years of Hurricanes and Tropical Storms
Stay safe.
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