Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000
000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004
...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.
CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
Watch for Crooks among the good guys coming to help though.
Tornado warning for Chatham Co. and northeastern Wake Co. until 8:15pm.
(NC, not Florida)
Thanks but I meant towards the Atlantic. I have kids in JAX and watching closely.
The NE side of any hurricane is the most ferocious side of the hurricane itself, from the eye wall outward to the edge.
Eye seems to be east of St Pete now: A nasty band of leading showers is heading towards Ocala (up northwest of Orlando that stretches all the way from Melbourne (on the east coast south of Cape Canaveral) over towards Daytona and Silver Strings..
I remember a cartoon in the New Yorker after Hurricane Andrew. A woman on a palm shaded veranda holds an envelope and says to her mate, "its a check from Pesident Bush for our screen door". Well...I thought it was funny.
Yes, that is it.She said she was 3 miles east of l-75 I believe.When my husband called me, at first I thought he said it was on a " farm". Then he clarified Lakewood Ranch. So you think they would be ok????? has the hurricane passed over her by now???Sure hoping so . She is from Los Angeles, and has been through major earthquakes, but never a hurricane.
Good news is this thing is flying by. No stationary flood dump. Of course Andrew flew by too.
This is so typical of human nature. You get all these eastern Atlantic formations that the weather channel blabs about for a week then a storm forms and flies in gaining strength and nobody's had a chance to really hype it. Figures.
Yep. If it had been a "slow roller" type of category 4 storm, that would have been pretty devastating.
But that's true for east coast and Caribbean hurricanes.
Pacific and South Pacific and Indian Ocean hurricanes (typhoons and monsoons) behave somewhat differently.
Isn't that the truth. I heard an employee of a rental company boasting about the prices they were getting for generators after Andrew. I called the owner, threatened to tell everybody I met and refused to do business with him again. I doubt he dropped his prices, but I can guarantee he lost business.
Ooops . . . sorry! :o)
Will be praying for your kids!
Do you have any sense of the damage there? Isn't northwest Seminole close to the Ulmerton/Seminole intersection? Memory fades on me as I age, dang it!
Does anyone at all know how hard Estero Island or Fort Myers Beach may have been hit?
3 people died here in NC yesterday from tornadoes that were sporned by Bonnie. Tornado warnings are serious.
Thanks. Praying for yall too. I'm on the Texas Coast. I was just saying the other day that the tropics seem slow this year. Slap me silly! :')
Are you anywhere near The Villages of Lady Lake, Guenevere? I have a house and some lovely neighbours there.
I'm on the other side of the world right now and woke up this morning to CNN's news about the change in path/strength of this hurricane.
Know that Orlando's directly in its path now, but wondering about Leesville/Ocala.
Your input would be much appreciated...
Yeahm we need Kerry in Daytona RIGHT NOW!
We have a genius in here folks!
Sheesh!
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