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CHARLEY BECOMES A (CATEGORY 4 Now!!) HURRICANE (18 ft. storm surge)
NHC ^ | 08-13-2004 | Forecaster Lawrence

Posted on 08/13/2004 10:08:09 AM PDT by Jeff400000

000 WTNT33 KNHC 131655 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE CHARLEY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1 PM EDT FRI AUG 13 2004

...CHARLEY STRENGTHENS AS IT HEADS TOWARD FLORIDA WEST COAST...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE DRY TORTUGAS TO THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE...AND FOR THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE NORTHWARD TO THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE FLORIDA AND GEORGIA COASTS WERE RECENTLY EXTENDED SOUTHWARD TO JUPITER INLET FLORIDA AND ARE NOW IN EFFECT FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO JUPITER INLET. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM THE SEVEN MILE BRIDGE TO OCEAN REEF...AND ALONG THE SOUTH FLORIDA MAINLAND FROM OCEAN REEF TO EAST CAPE SABLE...INCLUDING FLORIDA BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO THE SAVANNAH RIVER NEAR THE GEORGIA/SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST FROM OCEAN REEF NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF COCOA BEACH AND FROM THE SOUTH SANTEE RIVER NORTHWARD TO OREGON INLET NORTH CAROLINA INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.

AT 1 PM EDT...1700Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.5 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF FORT MYERS FLORIDA.

CHARLEY IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD REACH THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CHARLOTTE HARBOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

RECENT REPORTS FROM A RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 125 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...CATEGORY THREE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. THESE STRONGEST WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A SMALL AREA WITHIN A FEW MILES FROM CHARLEYS CENTER.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 964 MB...28.46 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL BE SUBSIDING LATER TODAY. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 13 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE FLORIDA WEST COAST. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FEET ALONG AND NEAR THE GEORGIA COAST IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH LESSER FLOODING TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG CHARLEYS PATH ACROSS THE EASTERN UNITED STATES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.

REPEATING THE 1 PM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 82.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...125 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 964 MB.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM EDT.

FORECASTER LAWRENCE


TOPICS: Breaking News; Miscellaneous; News/Current Events; US: Florida
KEYWORDS: bush43; charley; charlie; elections; fl; florida; hugelosses; hurricane; hurricanecharley; hurricanecharlie; jeb; jebbush; politics; weather
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To: who knows what evil?

You're gonna blame all this destruction on God? Don't make me come over there...


141 posted on 08/13/2004 10:50:01 AM PDT by ovrtaxt (*www.fairtax.org* Hate the IRS? Vote for Bush!)
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To: JackRyanCIA; Admin Moderator

Can you clean up 126...


142 posted on 08/13/2004 10:50:13 AM PDT by Dog ( Attention: Everyone check their briefcase for their "magic" secret agent hat... That is all.)
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To: RedBloodedAmerican
I have seen palm fronds impaled thru palm trees

I hope Dan Rather is planning to cover the storm in person.

143 posted on 08/13/2004 10:50:15 AM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Constitution Day
http://www.sunstream.com/beachcam.htm

The camera is jumping all over the place. They're having an earthquake!!!

144 posted on 08/13/2004 10:50:54 AM PDT by Fury
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To: cyborg
Category FOUR????

Yep. With landfall at around 3 or so.

145 posted on 08/13/2004 10:51:23 AM PDT by mhking
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To: OXENinFLA

were supposed to be headed there 8/23

do me a favor and let me know if you think its still worthwhile or will we be taking up rooms that could better be used by residents


146 posted on 08/13/2004 10:51:26 AM PDT by Revelation 911
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To: Jeff400000

This does not bode well for the East Coast. With Charley increasing in intensity and turning more eastward it could well move up over the ocean rather than inland. The Gulf Stream sometimes keeps hurricanes close to the coast, not allowing them to go out to sea. This could cause it to stregthen even more.
Some here in the Hampton Roads area are still cleaning up from a brush with a much weakened Hurricane Isabel last year.


147 posted on 08/13/2004 10:51:42 AM PDT by R. Scott (Humanity i love you because when you're hard up you pawn your Intelligence to buy a drink.)
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To: Fury

bookmark.


148 posted on 08/13/2004 10:51:42 AM PDT by JennysCool (The Clinton Legacy: Sandy Berger's Pants)
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To: Riley

When I was taking the Metro home yesterday, I went over the Potomac rail bridge, and there was only about a half-mile visibility, and the rain was REALLY coming down. The Potomac look already pretty swollen. The retaining wall on the DC side had water nearly up to the top.


149 posted on 08/13/2004 10:51:56 AM PDT by Pyro7480 (Sub tuum praesidium confugimus, sancta Dei Genitrix.... sed a periculis cunctis libera nos semper...)
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To: RepoGirl; Big Guy and Rusty 99

Heads up ping


150 posted on 08/13/2004 10:52:00 AM PDT by ChuxsterS
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To: Howlin

The forecasters in Ft. Myers are comparing this to Andrew now.


151 posted on 08/13/2004 10:52:14 AM PDT by mhking
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To: Howlin

Those folks who did leave are in big trouble .. this thing is HUGE


152 posted on 08/13/2004 10:52:22 AM PDT by Mo1 (Kerry & Edwards .... they will leave no Special Interest Group behind)
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To: Pyro7480; cspackler; Howlin

If, that is, Charley doesn't pick up any more wind strength....


153 posted on 08/13/2004 10:52:31 AM PDT by hchutch (I only eat dolphin-safe veal.)
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To: All

154 posted on 08/13/2004 10:52:38 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: per loin
A category 5 has sustained winds of 155 mph or greater. The US has only been hit by 3 cat 5's in the past: Labor Day of 1935, Camille in 1969, and Andrew in 1992. The storm is obviously intensifying rapidly now and if it continues, could strengthen by 10 more mph. Can't really put a number on it, though.
155 posted on 08/13/2004 10:53:02 AM PDT by Jeff400000
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To: EX52D

"I have family in Ft. Myers...getting nervous...

"

I have in-laws in Cape Coral. I talked to them earlier and they're really nervous.


156 posted on 08/13/2004 10:53:10 AM PDT by MineralMan (godless atheist)
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To: commish; Amelia

I love that place. Amelia was just there last week!


157 posted on 08/13/2004 10:53:41 AM PDT by Howlin (Kerry being called a war hero is "a colloquialism.")
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To: mhking; Howlin

145 mph windspeed equals what Andrew was at landfall. Andrew was a good deal deeper (lower pressure though). Andrew had a 922mb low at landfall.


158 posted on 08/13/2004 10:53:46 AM PDT by nwctwx
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To: Conservababe
His brother Jeb will, in a timely manner, request help, unlike the governor of Fla at the time of Andrew.

And, I saw an interview this morning---the President already has FEMA there ready and rolling.

159 posted on 08/13/2004 10:53:56 AM PDT by Right_in_Virginia
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To: Dog

I just got off the phone with my brother who is in Mulberry/Lakeland area, little bits of rain and nothing else.


160 posted on 08/13/2004 10:54:00 AM PDT by boxerblues
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