My stomache hurts more with every poll that is posted!
These numbers cant be ignored. Bush is not making his case on the economy, and he hasnt convinced enough people that Kerry is weak on defense and will raise their taxes. Time for the Ad-makers and speech writers to step up and get focused.
Registered voters, not likely voters. I don't care if the registered number is 90% Kerry, as long as the likely number is over 50% at the end.
I'd say thats about the gist of it.
I know the GOP hasn't had its convention, and polls can't be trusted, and the voters haven't started to pay attention, and yadayadayada, but W just doesn't seem to be getting any traction. I fear the constant attacks from the left, aided by the press stooges, have become too much for anyone to overcome. Soon it will be time to hide income and assets and stock up on ammo.
We haven't had our convention yet.
Dukakis was ahead by 17 points over Bush senior at the same time in 1988. Kerry is trying the same game, run all over the field with every issue that one can come up with. It's a technique doomed for failure when he runs out of issues to flip flop on. He's on the Energy Plan now, not much left especially when gas prices go down during the off peak season. As for employment, more companies will hire when they see not doing so effects their investors. As for the war in Iraq and Terror it already seems to be sorting it's self out. Bin Laden, WMD and Iraq/Al Qaeda links next.
. . . statistical tie (3-way race unchanged from 7/19-24/04)!
Comparative Benchmark: The new AP/Ipsos-Reid poll (taken during the same time frame) finds a statistical tie. Additionally, it puts the President's job approval at 50/50 -- statistically unchanged for the last SEVERAL months!
Bottomline: Kerry received the LOWEST post-convention bounce in recent history!
That said, I do believe the spinning of today's jobs report will negatively impact all of the President's polling data from now until the Republican Convention -- I anticipate a 3-5 point drop in the President's average job approval ratings and a similar increase in Kerry's match-up advantage. IRRELEVANT!
What will matter, however, is the GOP's ability to 'turn out' our voters. [As Dr Ralph Reed indicated at a recent meeting, had he and his activists listened to the pollsters during the 2002 elections in GA, they would have quit a day before the election when the polls had most of their candidates DOWN by double digits -- I think we all know how the 2002 Georgia election 'turned out'!!!!]
The (silent) Christian Majority
http://weeklystandard.com/Content/Public/Articles/000/000/004/445jeipn.asp
Sickening. America was a great country.
I don't believe Kerry can win. He's like Bill Clinton with the single very important distinction that he's not from an unprivileged background. Wealthy elite liberals - I personally - cannot with the White House in the US.