[Nascardude]

The Bad News is that this makes a 7 point swing from the last AP poll before the convention. The good news is that this poll is within the margin of error. This is just been a bad day all around.

[gilliam]

Democrat John Kerry, whose nominating convention highlighted his war service

Naw, it just started us looking at it. This week we are highlighting his war service :)

[kaktuskid]

Remember the "bounce"

[been_lurking]

Edison Montgomery, a 59-year-old Democrat from Lancaster, Ohio, said that after watching the convention he has grown more comfortable with Kerry -- especially on whether he is capable of protecting the nation.

"He seems like he's got a good head on his shoulders," Montgomery said.

It has to be something in the water. LOL

[amordei]

Flanked by his Vietnam crewmates

-----

Man, AP, I already know that he served. Placing that phrase in every article is ridiculous.

[ambrose]

It is hard to keep track of all the zillions of polls that are released every day. Realclearpolitics does a good job summarizing them. Seems some polls showed a negative bounce, others showed a modest positive bounce, and still others showed no bounce. Not much consensus.

After what happened in Missouri, I'm not sure it even matter what these polls say.

[stockpirate]

TRUTH IN POLLING DEMANDED IN PRESS RELEASES!!!!!!

I WANT TO KNOW HOW MANY POLLED WERE TAXOCRATS AND HOW MANY WERE REPUBLICANS.

these polls are crooked if they fail to release the truth about how the poll was conducted.

I heard of a poll this morning that said Kerry was 7 or 8 points ahead of Bush. What they failed to mention is that the POLL HAD ONLY 38% REBUBLICANS AND SOMETHING LIKE 46% XOCRATS and 18% UNWASHED. (numbers are estimates as I don't recall the exactly)

[COURAGE]

If the election was held today, which would be unconstitutional, Kerry 296EV, Bush 236EV. We have to take Florida.

[longtermmemmory]

Odd how all the polls are just sandbagging the day after the swiftvet story breaks.

Seems these polls are there to be neutralizing fodder for the swift vet story. The talking heads need their DNC talking points.

I don't even bother with sunday mornings because they have inside the beltway disease.

[Nascardude]

Just a foot note on the history of polls. We've probably heard all the mumbo jumbo about how undecideds always break for the challenger, and No incumbent has ever won with a below 50 percent approval rating. Well here is a trend for the Kerry folks to choke on. Since Gallup began polling during the FDR era, no challanger has ever won without opening up a significantly big lead after their convention. Here are the gallup polls after the challangers convention in past president elections where there was an incumbent:

1996: Challenger Dole trails Pres. Clinton by 7 points
1992: Challenger Clinton leads Pres. Bush by 22 points
1984: Challenger Mondale trails Pres. Reagan by 12 points.
1980: CHallenger Reagan leads Pres. Carter by 16 points.
1976: Challenger Carter leads Pres. Ford by 31 points.
1972: Challenger McGovern trails Pres. Nixon by 19 points.
1964: Challenger Goldwater trails LBJ by 27 points.


Kerry has failed to open up any kind of significant lead over Bush. His biggest lead is 5 in the Fox Poll and in most it averages about 1-3, and in the gallup even shows him behind.

[petercooper]

[gramho12]

Geez - how many polling companies are out there? There seems like a new one everyday. I don't take a lot of stock in any of them, whether they are plus or minus Bush.

[Texas_Dawg]

Did they give a number for GWB approval ratings?

[jmaroneps37]

Not bad for a ratpoll company. Remember when you see IPSOS read greenberg. When you read greenberg read ratpollster.