Warm Bread: Bush's grim poll numbers.

Slate ^ | Tuesday, Aug. 3, 2004, at 3:48 PM PT | William Saletan

[COURAGE]

If you've read or watched news reports about polls taken since the Democratic convention, you've probably heard that John Kerry didn't get much of a "bounce." These reports miss the important data. Let's look at the numbers.

1. What's changed. Three major media polls have been taken since the convention: ABC News/Washington Post, CBS News/New York Times, and CNN/USA Today. Prior to the convention, Kerry's favorable rating was nine points higher than his unfavorable rating in the ABC poll. Since the convention, this margin has grown to 19 points. Bush's positive margin on the same question is just two points.

[CFC__VRWC]

I'm still seeing Kerry ads in MO although I had heard he was pulling ads out of MO.

Are these ads put out by the Kerry campaign, or are they put out by the 527s like MoveOn, ACT, etc.?

[KansasGirl]

I saw it again last night. It is a DNC ad.

Kerry is in MO today.

[Meldrim]

If oil is over fifty dollars a barrel this will not be so.

[LadyPilgrim]

I like your thinking!