This is the year for a real Hurricane Karl. 6 years ago I only got a crappy mid-Atlantic hurricane.
Posted on 08/03/2004 8:09:51 AM PDT by tmp02
I dont know though...As I look at it, it stands to reason that the same trough that will end up kicking Alex out to sea will keep this one well offshore as well...I hope
Here we go.
Surfs up Dude, it was great in Daytona last week after a summer of lake Atlantic. Looking forward to more waves this weekend.
Lovely.....I leave for Montego Bay Friday AM.
Ho hum, another one, yawn.
It looks like a trough will steer this puppy your way and not into the Gulf of Mexico. Keep your eyes open!
Yep. I ain't even getting excited about Alex.
Winds up to 90 MPH......get excited!
Tell me more, please. Have children on the coast.
Updates for Alex are over on this thread. And P.S. - the Hurricane Center was clueless on the development of this one!!
The northern eye wall is now approaching verycloseto Hatteras. Probably now at Ocracoke.
Hey, I can pay attention while still remaining calm. ;^)
Nothing but rain over here for four days. Not complaining!
Hopefully this one heads on out to sea and Northern lattitudes after clearing the Carribean islands.
Satellite images suggest that the tropical wave in the tropical
Atlantic approaching the Lesser Antilles has become a little better
organized and it is being classified as a tropical depression. It
is difficult to ascertain if the system...an especially fast moving
one...has a closed circulation without data from a reconnaissance
plane. You could make the case that a small circulation exists
using quicksat ambiguity analysis. The depression has enough deep
convection...banding features and good outflow and the shear is
expected to remain on the weak side. Therefore...a gradual
strengthening is indicated. This is consistent with both SHIPS and
GFDL models.
The depression is moving westward or 280 degrees at 18 knots...
steered by the winds south of the subtropical ridge. However...
large scale models forecast a large trough over the eastern coast
of the United States. This trough will erode the subtropical ridge
forcing the cyclone to turn more to northwest and north during the
last portion of the forecast.
Preliminary coordinations have been made with the meteorologists
from the Lesser Antilles to issue watches and warnings later today
if necessary.
Forecaster Avila
Hopefully this one heads on out to sea and Northern lattitudes after clearing the Carribean islands.
This is the year for a real Hurricane Karl. 6 years ago I only got a crappy mid-Atlantic hurricane.
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