Not sure if this will bear out this time with other concerns skewing the mindset of the electorate....Then again, I'm still expecting a clear Bush win.What was the prediction in 2000?
FYI...
I just open by eyes and ears to the non-filtered, non-biased news and it's clear.
But Zogby says Bush should start packing his bags and reserve a U-Haul for November.
Ping.
But does it factor in people being brainwashed by Michael Moore and the liberal media? Wild-card.
A landslide of 57%? I've never heard it referred to as a landslide before.
I started out thinking this election would be a Bush by a landslide win. Then i became much less sure and even worried that Bush could lose this one. Now I'm back to thinking it will be a Bush win by a fair margin of at least 10%.
Not sure if this will bear out this time with other concerns skewing the mindset of the electorate....Then again, I'm still expecting a clear Bush win.
We should all pray this will be true. Not just because Bush will win but because it will give him a voter mandate, something that has been missing. It will give Bush the green light to "take care" of pending business in the Middle East. Then we will start seeing the political vampires slither back into their graves. A completely different landscape will emerge.
i want W to win by one electoral vote again... just to enrage the libs
Presidential Vote Equation--July 31, 2004
The predictions of GROWTH, INFLATION, and GOODNEWS for the previous forecast from the US model (April 29, 2004) were 3.2 percent, 2.0 percent, and 3, respectively. The current predictions from the US model (July 31, 2004) are 2.7 percent, 2.1 percent, and 2, respectively. The current predictions are based on the NIPA data that were revised back to beginning of 2001. Given the revised data, there are only 2 good news quarters in the first 14 of the Bush administration: 2003:3 and 2004:1. The US model is not predicting that the current quarter (2004:3) will be a good news quarter, and so the total number of good news quarters is 2.
So the revised data and the economic predictions for 2004:3 from the US model show a slightly lower value for GROWTH, essentially the same value for INFLATION, and the value of GOODNEWS lowered from 3 to 2. These new economic values give a prediction of 57.48 percent of the two-party vote for President Bush rather than 58.74 percent before. This is, of course, still a large predicted share for President Bush, although 1.26 percentage points less than before.
Election night is going to be a nailbiter.
So, I predict a Bush landslide.
But I predicted one in 2000, too.
Does it take into account all the Democrap fraud that is bound to occur? . . . as happened last time in WI (union fraud; vote buying), IO (more people voted than were registered), MI (union s stuffed ballot boxes), MO (polls kept open late), PA (documented busloads of blacks going to several different polling places), NM (2 missing ballot boxes in Republican districts in a state decided by 500 votes), CA (millions of illegals registered; 1 million absentee ballots, including military, never counted), and FL (on my God!) . . . . O.K., so I am probably forgetting some states and some instances of fraud. But, remember that Bush "lost" all of these escept MO and, yes, FL. The point is: if the election is close at all, be afraid! Be very afraid!
My gut instinct is that this election is going to be a repeat of 2000 - GWB losing the popular vote yet winning the electoral college.
In November 2003 Albert Wang predicted 45 State Bush Blowout.
In August 2004 Albert Wang predicts 45 State Bush Blowout.
When America takes a good look at the Democratic product they will Vote W.