I hope you're right. I'm not so optimistic. I'm really afraid so many people absolutely HATE Bush in such a pathological and extreme way that they are really motivated to destroy him and vote him out of office.
The country seems more polarized than I've ever seen it. I hope I'm wrong, but I live in Texas and there are lots of Kerry people here. Maybe my viewpoint is skewed by the number of my artsy soi dissant intellectual friends but I'm pessimistic. I don't think Bush is a good speaker, but I don't know how much that counts.
Reality for me is I think we're in WW III with Islamic fundamentalism. I don't think they're going to quit until we kill most of them. I'm voting for Bush like my life depends on it and I've sent the RNC money this year.
They still have to get out of bed and show up at the polls. If Bush can get 10% of the Kerry supporters to simply be apathetic enough to stay home, he will win in a landslide.
Given that Kerry is stealing all of his campaign themes from Bush, this doesn't seem too far fetched.
I think that's overblown. Bush has certainly flubbed some words and phrases, but have you seen him give a speech lately? I've seen him give some extremely strong, passionate, inspiring speeches.
Kerry, on the other hand, is not a good speaker. Even at his best, he's got that monotone thing going on, and he's pompous. I don't see a Kerry speech inspiring too many people.
Bush has the ability to reach people when he speaks; Kerry just doesn't.