Meaningless. The poll is of "registered voters nationwide" -- not "likely voters" and not electoral votes.
Foxnews/Dynamic polls is the most trusted. If President Bush is up among registered voters, he will fare even better among likely voters. Why? Because a larger % of registered republicans are likely to go to the polls and vote than that of Democrats.
Still, we must keep working very, very hard.
Point on the electoral votes but typically the winner of the national vote, especially by a large margin, will win the EC.
Not so, a poll of likely voters would be more favorable to our side. When Republicans say they will vote, they will do so a higher percentage of the time then the rats.
>
Meaningless. The poll is of "registered voters nationwide" -- not "likely voters" and not electoral votes.
>
Until very recently, you had a very good point. Recently, however, there has been doubt thrown on the concept of "likely voter" because the definition of likely is not uniform among all pollsters. Registered voter is entirely objective. You can look at polls of registered voters and mentally add a few (no certain number because of the varied definitions of "likey") percent to Bush's total, but most probably the definition of "few" is subjective too.
If Bush has a solid lead among registered voters, he's doing well. And as for EVs, a divergency of EV and popular vote generally can't happen by more than 1 or 2%. The electoral college was designed that way. A solid popular vote lead will translate to EVs. The population remains largely homogenous across states.
Poll has state by state in 4-5 battleground states here. Most encouraging is FL where Bush is up 48-38