False bravado. Kerry is certainly not campaigning like he's winning and it really shows that only overly-sampled-with-Democrats polls can show Kerry ahead if even mildly. Everyone else has Bush with the lead and the momentum.
Now, if Bush wins OH, and everything else in Dales chart holds through the election, it will be a 269-269 tie. Interesting.
You mean if everything else holds through on my chart, but of the complete tossup states Bush wins Ohio while Kerry wins the other four.
Then yes, that would make 269-269. Again assuming that Bush does not peel off one of Maine's electoral votes.