[Dales]

" Now, if Bush wins OH, and everything else in Dales chart holds through the election, it will be a 269-269 tie. Interesting."

You mean if everything else holds through on my chart, but of the complete tossup states Bush wins Ohio while Kerry wins the other four.

Then yes, that would make 269-269. Again assuming that Bush does not peel off one of Maine's electoral votes.

[Citizen of the Savage Nation]

Yes that is what I meant, I'm typing faster than I'm thinking. As with Zogby, I know the polls are junk but the trend is indeed interesting. For some reason or another, he has caught a sizeable Bush shift and not just in those states. For a junk poll, I wonder why.