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That sounds optimistic.
It's possible, because they've been making announcements for weeks that they have the area surrounded and he's not there.
I'll keep my fingers crossed.

If he isn't in the Afghan-Pakistani border, where do you think he is?

That sounds optimistic. It's possible, because they've been making announcements for weeks that they have the area surrounded and he's not there. I'll keep my fingers crossed.

I think the news last week about Pakistan saying UBL wasn't in the border region was nothing more than trying to "shake the tree" and see if anything falls out -

I also think that UBL (and Al Zawahiri) are most likely right there in Pakistan - And most likely somewhere along the border region - As we all know that terrain in that region is brutal and makes military operations there extremely more difficult -

I would also say that the notion that UBL has traveled to Iran or S.A just doesn't fit his M.O. (why would he put himself at the possibly mercy of a centralized Gov't) -

I think UBL has just simply been ekking out a survival in the border region of Pakistan - We (U.S.) have not sent forces into that region and thus UBL has had no reason to move -

And while we have possible (and probably assuredly) sent small teams of America SOF units into the border region of Pakistan (for Recon and snatch and grab missions) we have never sent any where near the number of forces that would be needed to capture or kill UBL -

Until we say screw all the political / Socio/ tribal / mumbojumbo and just declare come hell or high water.....we are coming in (to the Pak border region) to find any HVT that remain in this area......Until we do this....UBL will remain at large -