[JasonC]

Great, he's got money. A second term however hinges on votes not money. There aren't enough votes in the base of either party to win a national election. Independents decide elections. If they split roughly 50-50, then sure, how motivated the base is matters. If they aren't, then that doesn't help. Don't get silly here. Bush needs around 50% of the independent vote.

[Coop]

Not if his turnout is sufficiently larger.