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Okay, yes I know the election is months away. Furthermore, I haven't been following the polls in the competetive races. But....

How can the GOP only have a clear advantage in just Georgia, while floundering in NC, SC, and Louisiana?

And someone please explain South Dakota to me. This isn't NY or California where overall liberal states elect several Republicans to the House from less-liberal districts; South Dakota has one district! The same people who voted overwhelmingly for Bush will send this Stephanie Herseth to the House. Who doubts that she will turn out to be as liberal as Daschle? Hell, she'll probably be in the Senate some day just like Daschle.

I hate to sound so pessimistic at such a premature stage, but I just have a bad feeling that Bush's decision to go to war in Iraq will not only cost him the Presidency, but will also throw the House into a virtual tie and give the Senate back to the Democrats, where they will put into place every Ginsberg/Breyer type that Kerry nominates.

I live in the South. I saw John Edwards win election in 1998. Trust me, I know how Dems work in the South. They talk like a moderate, while they either avoid or mislead when it comes to their posistion on social issues. Then once in office they vote against the conservative social values of their constituents. In other words, Bush may very well be responsible for electing a half dozen new John Edwards' to the Senate.

1 posted on 05/23/2004 1:22:17 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: Aetius

You forgot to preface the title of this article with "Liberals hoping that..."


2 posted on 05/23/2004 1:24:08 PM PDT by jimbo123
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To: Aetius

I think this article is just plain wishful thinking.


4 posted on 05/23/2004 1:27:43 PM PDT by plushaye
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To: Aetius
In terms of the senate races, it is my understanding that in the South many of them don't have a primary candidate yet. Once that is sorted out, you'll see some relevant numbers. I was disappointed in the Burr/Bowles number in NC, but I think the SC seat is safe, and probably the FL senate seat is safe. If the Louisiana guy wins enough to avoid a runoff, he's safe. If there is a runoff, he could be in trouble, as there is a vote-splitting candidate there.

As for the House, the Dems are absolutely in denial. In the first place, redistricting has already added a slew of new GOP seats. Yes, there are some retirements (natural ebb and flow). But I've been hearing since 1994 about how the GOP "could lose" the House, and we have about as many seats now as we did then.

I do think that the GREAT recruitment job Bush/Rove did in 2002 is having an effect now, in that it siphoned off a lot of candidates and there are no "names" or "stars" to run in places like NV, MT, or FL.

5 posted on 05/23/2004 1:28:10 PM PDT by LS (CNN is the Amtrak of news.)
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To: Aetius

Yep, wishful thinking from the left. But Bush does need to get his act in gear. He has let the media beat him up for months with little response.


6 posted on 05/23/2004 1:30:33 PM PDT by Always Right
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To: Aetius
Time to break out the Duct Tape! The End is Near and the Democrats will sweep the 2004 Elections winning every House seat, Senate seat and the White House!

Please do not Panic!!!

The only solution is to stop reading the Election speculation from CNN, AP and CBS.

9 posted on 05/23/2004 1:35:10 PM PDT by pete anderson
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To: Aetius
What a Difference a Year Makes

Wait'll you see the difference the next five months make.

The Republicans' secret weapon is the Democrats' candidate. You wait until the mainstream start paying attention, and get a good close look at John Kerry!

10 posted on 05/23/2004 1:38:13 PM PDT by prion
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To: Aetius
We could impeach Bush and Cheney for waging an unconstitutional war -- which was an impeachable offense for 150 years of this nation's history. Then President Denny Hastert could give the Neocons their pink slips and turn the country around before election day.

But no, just like Factless Leader, we do not admit to mistakes . . . .

14 posted on 05/23/2004 1:49:38 PM PDT by JoeSchem
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To: Aetius
The liberal media is full of crap. They've been pounding 24/7 on Bush and the war effort with their anti-war, anti-America, anti-Republican propaganda for over a year. No wonder his poll numbers are down. Some of the people are responding to the constant pounding, but no matter how much they want to turn Iraq into another Vietnam, it's not gonna happen.

The fact is, the war has already been won. It may be a complete surprise to the Democrat media and all of the leftists that were praying for disaster (does the left actually pray?) but we are victorious in Iraq. Iraq has been liberated. The brutal dictator is awaiting trial. His army and his party have been completely destroyed. The people are free and are about to install a democratic government.

All of America, in fact all of the world should be cheering. France, Germany, Russia, the UN, et al, are scumbags and the full brunt of that scandal has not yet hit the news.

And despite the liberal media's attempts to torpedo the economy, it's not happening. Thanks to Bush's tax cuts and the Fed's interest rate cuts, the economy is on an upswing and could be booming before the elections.

Bush will be fine. The Republicans will continue building their majority in both houses of Congress and in state and local governments as well, including in California!

Liberalism is a complete failure. Kerry/Kennedy/Clinton and their asinine anti-American Democrat Party are going down in flames.

Go Bush!!

17 posted on 05/23/2004 1:59:16 PM PDT by Jim Robinson
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To: Aetius

Osama Osama Osama...If we could just catch the mutt...Well we got about 6 months left.


21 posted on 05/23/2004 2:02:26 PM PDT by stillnoprotestsagainstmuslims (I`m still waiting for the protests against terrorism.)
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To: Aetius
And someone please explain South Dakota to me. This isn't NY or California where overall liberal states elect several Republicans to the House from less-liberal districts; South Dakota has one district! The same people who voted overwhelmingly for Bush will send this Stephanie Herseth to the House. Who doubts that she will turn out to be as liberal as Daschle? Hell, she'll probably be in the Senate some day just like Daschle.

There is discussion here: Senator stumps for Thune

24 posted on 05/23/2004 2:04:49 PM PDT by ride the whirlwind (Kerry wants to be the leader of the free world. Free for how long? - Zell Miller)
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To: Aetius

Boy, you are depressing. The economy will be the key. The war itself is not a disaster but a great success. Perception is critical and Kerry is not an alternative for the good.


President Bush may have low aproval but where's Kerry?
Kerry cannot get traction on any issue. The economy is Bush's
GDP numbers to come out this week will show about a 4.5% increase for the first quarter. If the war was so bad consumer confidence would not be high.
It all looks good for Bush.


41 posted on 05/23/2004 2:27:13 PM PDT by ChiMark
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To: Aetius

Don't believe all you read about this election and George W. Bush's popularity sliding, I see how people react to George W. Bush , and they are proud to be with him, to see him. George Bush is a great President , who has had to overcome some tough obstacles in his less than four years of service. Any other man, and America would of crumbled on Sept 11, 2001.

The Media hyped Howard Dean, so much Al Gore endorsed him before the first primary vote. Howard Dean did not make it out of the shoot in the Iowa Primary, and stumbled after he finally made it out.

We only have to look back to the last Democrat who ran for President from Massachusetts, to see a Candidate who was over hyped and then badly beaten in the actual vote. John Kerry does not even warm the person next too him, his fellow democrats have asked him to be warmer. John Kerry has no core principles to guide him, as he rides both sides of the issues until he can figure out what he thinks might be the most popular. John Kerry can hardly figure out what is the Popular stance in the Iraq War. John Kerry can not even chose a Vice President running mate.

I remember when the Media hyped the end of the world with the Y2K disasters. The General Media of America is Sick, and would sell their own Mothers for high news ratings, would sell this country out to the French, and Terrorist to get news ratings.


47 posted on 05/23/2004 2:43:45 PM PDT by AmericanMade1776
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To: Aetius
Yep...got that right....tip in the polls are going to change my mind? NOT!...these polls indicate one of two things. They either poll the same independent individuals over and over again or they indicate that the Democrats can't make up their mind. As a Republican (and like our solders)...I dedicated and will vote Republican even if we have a few minor differences. By the way....how come I haven't been polled...ever...(35 yrs voting)
49 posted on 05/23/2004 2:46:15 PM PDT by Hotdog
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To: Aetius
The AP finds a lot of copy to expend whenever things are looking good for Socialists. Amazing. When things aren't lookin' good for them, the articles seem to be, oh, I don't know...SHORTER.
51 posted on 05/23/2004 3:01:23 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I'm so glad to no longer be associated with the Party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: Aetius

this must have been written by joe conason


53 posted on 05/23/2004 3:02:31 PM PDT by The Wizard (Democrats: enemies of America)
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To: Aetius

Pre-Written Headlines for AP & Reuters

Meteor From Space Could Cause Kerry Landslide

Early Grubworms Point to Democratic Victory

Romanian Seer Sees 'House of Ketchup' in Washington

Cicadas 'Warbling For Kerry' Scientist Says

Newborn Cries When Shown Picture of Bush

Doctors: Kerry's Doesn't Stink


54 posted on 05/23/2004 3:04:20 PM PDT by Nick Danger (With sufficient thrust, pigs fly just fine.)
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To: Aetius

This article was written to boost RAT fundraising.


60 posted on 05/23/2004 3:39:44 PM PDT by Kuksool (Get your souls to the polls in November)
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To: Aetius

rat wet dream.


61 posted on 05/23/2004 3:45:35 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 ( Kerry's not "one of us": catholicagainstkerry.com. needs your help.)
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To: Aetius

rat wet dream.


62 posted on 05/23/2004 3:45:39 PM PDT by jmaroneps37 ( Kerry's not "one of us": catholicagainstkerry.com. needs your help.)
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To: Aetius

There's very little in this article that gives any credence to the Dems' ability to pick up control of the House. I'd be very surprised if they could do that. Look at the GOP's successful redistricting efforts in Texas, etc. Besides, those polls that give the Dems a 13 point lead for the Congressional generic are garbage. Even the Democracy Corps Poll (a Democrat org) shows the Dems up by just 2 points.

Plus, read this from Rasmussen on how polling questions for the House are very misleading: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/Congressional_Ballot%20Survey.htm

"It is important to note that while surveys of Congressional ballot preference can measure broad trends and voter attitudes, they do not indicate likely results in the race for control of Congress.

In the House of Representatives, only a handful of the 435 races will truly be competitive. Incumbents, especially those who have served more than one term, rarely lose. So, barring a major shift of public attitudes in favor of the Democrats, it is highly unlikely that Democrats will regain control of the House."

And Rasmussen consistently shows the Dems leading by between 4 and 7 points or so!!


63 posted on 05/23/2004 3:47:11 PM PDT by No Dems 2004
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