Posted on 05/22/2004 5:36:01 PM PDT by Theodore R.
From CNN's "Capital Gang"
Stephanie Herseth, Democrat congressional nominee in SD, is leading the Republican challenger, Larry Diedrich, 49-40 (Argus-Leader survey), as the campaign to select a successor to former Rep. William "Bill" Janklow, R-SD, enters its final ten days. However, Diedrich has improved his poll numbers, after campaign visits by Speaker Dennis Hastert, R-IL, First Lady Laura Bush, and Second Lady Lynne Cheney.
An issue dividing the two is abortion: Herseth opposes partial-birth abortion but would allow "exceptions," a position Republicans insist mean that she is really in support of partial-birth abortion, a procedure that the American Medical Assn. says is never medically necessary.
Herseth is taking a more moderate Democrat stance, saying she will join the "Blue Dog" coalition in the House. She said that she supports Bush's prosecution of the war in Iraq.
Diedrich says that he favors making the Bush tax cuts permanent, a position Herseth has yet to endorse.
"Capital Gang" host Mark Shields, a former staffer to the late Sen. and Secretary of State Edmund Muskie, noted that it has been 30 years since SD last had an all-Democrat congressional delegation, a situation that will return with Herseth's expected victory on June 1.
Shields predicted Herseth and Sen. Tom Daschle, the minority leader, would win this year.
A noteworthy observation: SD has 44,000 more registered Republicans than Democrats. So any Herseth-Daschle victories will come through the votes of Republican crossovers, presumably primarily moderate women who support abortion "rights."
Robert D.S. Novak, conservative panelist on the program, said that the Bush reelection campaign is in big trouble but that Bush still has two possibilities for victory: (1) the election is six months away, (2) John Kerry, the Democrat nominee in waiting, has yet to fire up many independent voters. Novak said that Bush's visit to Capitol Hill to meet with the Republicans this week was an embarrassing failure because Bush spoke erratically, did not exude strong leadership, and did not take questions from restless lawmakers of his own party as he had promised to do.
I predict that on January 3, 2005, 2/3 of the SD delegation will be Republican.
The election is still 164 days until the election. This is a bit premature.... But I expect no less from a democrat press.
There is a special election for the SD House-At-Large next month. The RAT woman is currently leading.
[Herseth opposes partial-birth abortion but would allow "exceptions," a position Republicans insist mean that she is really in support of partial-birth abortion, a procedure that the American Medical Assn. says is never medically necessary.]
Ping!
I see Herseth has been taking flip-flop lessons from Kerry.
The problem in both Dakotas, for that matter, is too many "moderate Republican" voters providing victory to the Democrats time and time again.
I still think that Diedrich has a shot. Look how far he's come since the beginning of the race.
Especially when the liberal opposition talks conservative but votes liberal after being elected. Moderate conservatives fall for the con every time.
Just like 'effin Kerry going to keep a middle class tax cut in place after he's elected. I can hear it now: "You you, thing are really much worse than we expected. Bush lied about the budget situation. If he hadn't been irresponsible with his tax cut for the rich, we could keep these middle class tax cuts in place.... but, everybody with two nickles to rub together is gonna have to sacrifice...."
Clinton pulled the exact same horseshit. Everybody should assume liberals lie, based of their unblemished record of lying. Kerry's got a verrrrry long record of it.
SD/ND are RAT Friendly in Federal State wide races.
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SD GOP voters are about to send Herseth (unless Larry pulls an upset), who will vote and support pelosi.
Who has said the following:
Yes, he has a shot, if republian voters of SD wake up
Election is on - 06/01/04
Herseth 47% - Diedrich 44% - Begay 1% (DV)
Herseth 49% - Diedrich 40% - Begay 1% (LV)
KELO Poll for Keloland.com
MoE+/-4 (Likely and Definate Voters) 05/10-12/04
Herseth 53.3% - Diedrich 37.1% - Begay 1.9%
Zogby Poll
MoE+/-4.5% (Likely Voters) 03/27-28/04
Herseth 58% - Diedrich 29%
Mason Dixox Poll for Keloland.com
MoE+/-3.5% (Reg Voters) 02/07/04
Election is on - 06/01/04
Herseth 47% - Diedrich 44% DV)
Herseth 49% - Diedrich 40% (LV)
KELO Poll for Keloland.com
MoE+/-4 (Likely and Definate Voters) 05/10-12/04
SD:
Daschle 49% - Thune 47%
Mason Dixon Poll
MoE+/-3.5% (Reg Voters) 05/10-12/04
Daschle 55% - Thune 42%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research(D)
MoE+/-?% 05/04
Daschle 48.2% - Thune 42.6%
Zogby Poll
MoE+/-4.5% (Likely Voters) 03/27-28/04
Daschle 48% - Thune 45%
Rasmussen Poll
MoE+/-4.5% (Likely Voters) 02/11/04
Daschle 50% - Thune 43%
Mason Dixon Poll
MoE+/-3.5% (Reg Voters) 02/07/04
Oh. Dern it!
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