[GeronL]

HAAHHAHAHA

and the liberal media knows this, and they will try their darndest to get Kerry elected

[goldstategop]

Donald Lambro is usually good at figuring out trends but there's a caveat here. He's playing to the conventional wisdom the election will be a rerun of 2000. It could very well be a rerun of 1988.

[stylin19a]

Too many ifs. Key state this time around: Ohio.

[Tall_Texan]

FYI...

Note that he has Nevada among the "safe" states for Bush and New Jersey among the "safe" states for Kerry. Note too that he isn't expecting much of a fight in Arkansas and Louisiana, two places where the "Solid South" strategy is least likely to hold.

[prion]

"The reason why this race is likely to be so close is not because the popular vote is going to be so evenly divided, but also because of the relative strength of the two parties are reflected in the electoral map," Mr. Reed said.

I take his point, that the country is highly and evenly polarized along party lines, but I just can't see it as such a squeaker this time. The professional Bush haters are powerfully emotional, but small in number. All the rest of us...well, John Kerry? He's a desperately unattractive guy, and he's got eight more months to show it to the country.

Of course, I thought Bush was going to walk it in 2000, too.

[alwaysconservative]

Bump for later reading.

[irish guard]

>>>>>>— Florida, Missouri, Ohio, West Virginia and New Hampshire — which today would give him 67 more electoral votes, eight more than he needs to win. Mr. Gore won the other six — Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico, Oregon, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania <<<<<<<<<

Flame me if you will, but they make it sound like Kerry will have a hard time winning some of the other states....Well, he's going to win all the northeast (New Hampshire excluded) and the West (Alaska excluded), so the states listed above are where both of them will campaign entirely.

11 states will receive all the attention in the upcoming election and some of those will continue to be damn tough for Bush....Minnesota, Iowa and Wisconsin are all still Democrat leaners. New Mexico is a tough call, but I think Bush can win it. Florida does not seem to be a walkover for Bush at this time. New Hampshire should go to Bush and the rest are all rust belt states hit hard by job losses. I just don't see the ease of the win yet. If we have a repeat of 2000 but instead, Bush loses Florida and wins New Mexico, Iowa, Minnesota and Wisconsin, he still loses the election.

[Libloather]

Hillary on 11/10/00 - "We are a very different country than we were 200 years ago, and I believe strongly that in a democracy, we should respect the will of the people and to me, that means it's time to do away with the Electoral College and move to the popular election of our president."

[THX 1138]

This is how it looks now. I'm convinced that this guy Kerry is a bleeder. He's gonna bleed to death from all these little cuts.

Betcha he's peaked already.