Posted on 03/20/2004 7:57:52 AM PST by WL-law
What Candidate Kerry Can Expect From His PartyPaperless voting, and in particular, internet voting, is intended to be fraudulent. Fraud, violence, the threat of violence, and of course, straight ticket options on ballots, are all tools of the Democretins.
What a question! Totally ignored by the RNC. Gore stole 5 states and these countryclubclymers can't even climb down from their bar stools to address the issue. Ashcroft's DOJ made damn sure his homestate (MO) got a straight(er) vote, and so did MD. Result: two GOP wins.
Drop in the bucket. What about the illegals registered in CA? What about PA? IL? MN? Between inner city black churches and their notorious van voters, Mexicans, and multiple absentee ballots from the quick AND the dead, the Republicans could blow this election.
Why this issue has no traction is beyond me. The Democrats won control of the Maine legislature by getting one of their judges to simply disqualify 34 voters. The stakes won by fraud are huge!
Instead, our Republican paid operatives accept, ACCEPT the ridiculous "Urban Legend" that Gore wone the popular vote!
This recent primary, in Florida, I was asked for my voter registration card, a picture ID and had to confirm my current address.
Is this procedure now nationwide? If not, Florida is certainly doing a good job of screening voters
I've said a dozen times that Kerry is a stalking horse until the Democrat convention. I honestly believe he will throw his support to Hillary Clinton. The reason I believe this is that Kerry is such a nothing candidate. The Democrats are smarter than this, and I believe the media know it and are going along with it.
Talk about vote fraud! When Hillary gets on the ticket the fraud will be so enormous there will be nothing that can be done. Meanwhile, she'll take her place in the White House and every thing will be hushed up.
Is this procedure now nationwide? If not, Florida is certainly doing a good job of screening voters
I believe that the rules are set up 'by district', rather than statewide. So you end up with repub districts requiring documentation and ID, and dem districts requiring no ID at all.
And you know what happens next...
This factoid has been wandering the net since late 2000. It's simply not true. I have repeatedly challenged anyone to show me one sizeable precinct where it was so, with no response. I have looked personally at every philly precinct -- available from official sources. It's not true. The original source was a Jude Wanniski newsletter, which John Lott picked up in a column. It's like the "massive Black turnout" in Florida, which the Gorebots use to show GOP theft, and some right-wingers use to show Dem cheating. It didn't happen, either. The Fla SOS (Kathryn Harris, remember?), published turnout, by race. Black turnout in Fla was a bit lower than white, and right in line with 4 years earlier.
There are enough real things to worry about, without spreading untruths. I challenge again -- show me one precinct, by number and location, with 99% turnout of several hundred registered voters. 99% of the votes cast for Gore -- YES. 99% of the registered voting -- NO.
Journal of Legal Studies 32 (January 2003) by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved. 0047-2530/2003/3201-0007
...
Cross-sectional precinct-level data that were compiled by a group of newspapers led by USA Today allow for a much more detailed examination and indeed imply that precincts with more African-American voters have higher rates of nonvoted ballots. But if spoiled ballots do indicate disenfranchisement, then the new data show that, by a dramatic margin, the group most victimized in the Florida voting was African- American Republicans.
The new finding is stunning: African-American Republicans who voted in Florida were in excess of 50 times more likely than the average African American to have had a ballot declared invalid because it was spoiled.
...
Even to the extent that a relationship exists between race and nonvoted ballot rates, the effect is small. Column 2 in Table 1, which uses only one race-related variable (the number of African Americans in a precinct), implies that adding a thousand more African Americans in a precinct would increase the number of nonvoted ballots by only .25 percent. However, columns 3 and 4 provide some insight into what is being hidden by lumping all African Americans together.
Simply disaggregating by political registration between Republicans and Democrats produces one coefficient that is much larger and one that is much smaller than previously shown with the aggregate number. The estimate for African-American Republicans is so large that using columns 1 and 3 implies that 18 African-American Republicans will produce as many nonvoted ballots as 1,000 randomly selected African Americans. For columns 2 and 4, every 15 African-American Republicans produces as many nonvoted ballots as 1,000 randomly selected African Americans.
While African Americans are registered as Republicans at only about 1/18th the rate that they register as Democrats, the results in columns 1–4 imply that African-American Republicans are 54–66 times more likely than the average African American to produce nonvoted ballots.
Another way of saying this last result is that for every two additional black Republicans in the average precinct, there was one additional spoiled ballot. By comparison, it took an additional 125 African Americans (of any party affiliation) in the average precinct to produce the same result.
While illustrative, selectively including only some of the possible racial and ethnic as well as political affiliations of voters creates a problem because the presence of different groupings is likely to be correlated (either positively or negatively) across precincts, and using only select groupings might falsely attribute some of the variation that is in fact associated with other groupings to only those that are included. To deal with this, the rest of the regressions reported in Tables 1 and 2 use all the remaining information of race, ethnic grouping, and political registration that was provided to me by USA Today.
In order to avoid perfect collinearity with the variable that measures the number of voters in each precinct, I excluded the variable for voters of “other races registered to other parties (neither Republican nor Democratic).” Including these other groupings does reduce the size of the coefficient for African-American Republicans, but the coefficients in columns 5 and 6 of Table 1 are still substantial when compared with the average effect for African Americans, with a difference of around 50–55 times.6 The bottom third of Table 1 tests to see whether the different voter groups have statistically different effects on the number of nonvoted ballots.
What the results show is that African-American Republicans, white Republicans, and Hispanic Republicans have much higher nonvoted ballot rates than African-American Democrats and that all the differences are quite statistically significant. Only for other races is the reverse true, and that difference is very large and also quite statistically significant.
"In Philadelphia, I understand, the numbers are laughable. The population is less than 1.3 million and there are 1 million registered voters, which implies there are almost no children and all the adults are civic-minded. The turnout was 70% on November 7, with some black precincts reporting 100% turnout and 99% for you, and you carried the city by 300,000 votes!! That's roughly 500,000 to 200,000. The explanation I get from Republicans who live there is that there are so few Republicans in the black community that all the precinct workers are Democrats, which makes it easy for voting "irregularities" to appear. I've spoken to a few black political leaders I know who tell me they are not surprised, that "irregularities" may occur whenever one party is so concentrated in an election district. It's hard for them to argue with these numbers."
Thanks for finding the Wanniski quote. Here's the problem. He says:
Population under 1300K
Registration of 1000K
Turnout Over 70% of registration.
If you go to census and SecState figures, you find that, instead, as of 2000,
Population 1518K
Registration 1025K
Turnout 442K Gore + 99K Bush + Minor = Turnout a bit over 50%
So, he's just way off. I've looked at the indivudal ward figures, and the few wards that got into the mid-60s in turnout were mostly the better-off white wards.
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