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Jobless Claims Lowest Since January 2001
AP ^

Posted on 03/18/2004 6:03:16 AM PST by Lunatic Fringe

WASHINGTON - The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits dropped for the third consecutive week last week, pushing jobless claims to the lowest level in more than three years.

The Labor Department (news - web sites) reported Thursday that the number of laid-off workers seeking jobless benefits fell by 6,000 last week to 336,000, a level that was last seen the week of Jan. 13, 2001, just before Bill Clinton (news - web sites) relinquished the White House to George W. Bush.

In other economic news, the government said inflation at the wholesale level jumped by 0.6 percent in January, the biggest increase in three months. That reflected in part the largest jump in energy prices since last March at the start of the Iraq (news - web sites) war. Outside of the volatile food and energy categories, the Producer Price Index (news - web sites) rose a more moderate 0.3 percent.

The release of the PPI (news - web sites) report for January was a month late as the Labor Department struggled to overcome difficulties in converting to a new classification system for the products it tracks for price changes.

The third straight weekly decline in jobless benefits raised hopes that a lengthy stretch of layoffs is coming to a close, setting the stage for businesses to finally begin rehiring laid-off workers.

President Bush (news - web sites), under attack by Democrats for what they say is the worst jobs record since Herbert Hoover, is counting on his three rounds of tax cuts to finally start generating new jobs.

The lack of significant new hiring has become a key issue in the current presidential race. Presumptive Democratic nominee Sen. John Kerry (news - web sites) contends Bush pursued a failed economic strategy of providing tax cuts skewed to the wealthy, which have done little to generate new employment.

Just 21,000 new jobs were created in February, as reflected by the Labor Department's survey of payrolls, as the country's job machine continued to fall badly below expectations. The unemployment rate remained at 5.6 percent last month. The overall rate remained stable only because 392,000 Americans gave up looking for work and were no longer counted in the labor market .

Bush, who has already endured a "jobless recovery" that has lasted far longer than the one that plagued his father, is counting on the tax cuts to finally begin generating jobs at a healthy clip so that voters will feel better about their economic prospects before they go to the polls in November.

The drop of 6,000 in the number of Americans filing unemployment benefits caught analysts by surprise. They had been expecting a slight increase after two weekly declines.

The drop left the four-week moving average of claims at 344,000, the lowest level for this barometer of the labor market since Jan. 27, 2001.

The 0.6 percent January increase in the PPI, which measures price changes in goods before they reach store shelves, followed a much more moderate 0.2 percent increase in December and was the sharpest jump since a 0.7 percent rise in October.

The January jump in wholesale prices was driven by a 4.7 percent rise in energy costs, the biggest monthly increase since a 4.8 percent rise in March 2002, as the U.S.-led Iraq war was beginning. Gasoline prices rose by 14.1 percent in January while home heating oil climbed 16.8 percent.

Food prices fell by 1.4 percent at the wholesale level in January, the biggest monthly drop since a 3.1 percent decline in April 2002. Big declines were recorded in the price of beef, lettuce, cauliflower, tomatoes, broccoli and spinach.

Outside of food and energy, the 0.3 percent increase in so-called core inflation was the biggest monthly rise since a 0.5 percent increase in October. The core wholesale inflation rate actually fell by 0.1 percent in December and was unchanged in November.

On Wednesday, the government reported that consumer prices in February were up 0.3 percent, a slight moderation compared to the 0.5 percent increase in January.

The Federal Reserve (news - web sites), which left a key interest rate at a 45-year low on Tuesday, said one reason it was able to do so was that inflation pressures remain at low levels.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: busheconomy; bushrecovery; tdids; thebusheconomy
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1 posted on 03/18/2004 6:03:16 AM PST by Lunatic Fringe
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Good news, but many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook, Mall Security, or simply lost unemployment benefits.
2 posted on 03/18/2004 6:08:21 AM PST by theDentist (Boston: So much Liberty, you can buy a Politician already owned by someone else.)
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To: theDentist
Good news, but many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook, Mall Security, or simply lost unemployment benefits.

Are there any statistics that measure that transition?

3 posted on 03/18/2004 6:12:00 AM PST by GraceCoolidge
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To: Lunatic Fringe
Just 21,000 new jobs were created in February, as reflected by the Labor Department's survey of payrolls, as the country's job machine continued to fall badly below expectations.

Is the Press lying when they say that "just 21,000 new jobs were created in February"? I thought this number was actually the difference between the number of jobs created and the number of jobs that were eliminated.

And another thing. I thought this increase in number of jobs excludes certain sectors. For example I think the farm sector is NOT included. So why is the "partisan press" (as Rush calls them) making it look like this includes all sectors of business.

hawk

4 posted on 03/18/2004 6:12:14 AM PST by hawkaw
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To: theDentist
This will always be true to an extent. Yet every year I have 70 students who write family "business" papers, and you'd be ASTOUNDED at how many people, once laid off, start their own successful businesses that are not "fry cooks."

Now, I admit, my "sample" is self-selecting, because only the successful ones send their kids to college, but still, the numbers are too many to ignore.

This is a serious case of having blinders on---to ignore the fact that many "laid off" people just quit in the sense that they START THEIR OWN BUSINSSES. I'd say probably 50% of my students' families fit that category, while the other half are people who have other options, but choose to start their own business anyway.

5 posted on 03/18/2004 6:13:04 AM PST by LS (CNN is the Amtrack of news.)
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To: Lunatic Fringe
And the democrats are sooo disappointed.
6 posted on 03/18/2004 6:13:07 AM PST by OldFriend (Always understand, even if you remain among the few)
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To: theDentist
Good news, but many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook, Mall Security, or simply lost unemployment benefits.

Many unemployed also went to much better jobs.
7 posted on 03/18/2004 6:14:08 AM PST by GROOVY
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To: theDentist
The people who I know who are on unemployment simply have no intention of looking for a job until their unemployment benefits run out. My sister is one of them, and surprise, surprise, she is a liberal. She's having a wonderful time acting like the doting mother, staying home with her kids on someone elses dime. Quit giving out extension after extension and these sloths will find work.
8 posted on 03/18/2004 6:14:53 AM PST by Trust but Verify (Charter member Broken Glass Republicans (2000))
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To: Lunatic Fringe
The overall rate remained stable only because 392,000 Americans gave up looking for work

How the hell do they know that?

9 posted on 03/18/2004 6:16:09 AM PST by atomicpossum (Fun pics in my profile)
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To: Lunatic Fringe
dems sez: just people giving up lookin' fer a job
10 posted on 03/18/2004 6:16:12 AM PST by InvisibleChurch (Bush in a romp.)
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To: theDentist
Average wage is up almost 40%. This is hooey. Please demonstrate where you get firm statistics for your propaganda.
11 posted on 03/18/2004 6:17:17 AM PST by BillM
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To: theDentist
This is very likely to happen to my wife. Rather than look at it as a problem, we've choosen to look at it as an opportunity. Of course, we looked at our spending habits about two years ago ago and made some drastic lifestyle changes. As a result, we're debt-free and have enough saved to survive with no outside employment for a year or more, if need be.
12 posted on 03/18/2004 6:17:49 AM PST by macrahanish #1
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To: theDentist
Did you hear this from the psychic hot line or are you privy to some statistics you might share?
13 posted on 03/18/2004 6:19:09 AM PST by don'tbedenied
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Am I the only one invisioning Kerry kicking his cat and screaming, "DAMMIT!!!"?
14 posted on 03/18/2004 6:20:52 AM PST by RandallFlagg (<a href="http://www.michaelmoore.com" target="_blank">miserable failure)
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To: theDentist
but many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook, Mall Security, or simply lost unemployment benefits.

Are you implying there is something wrong with being a Fry Cook or Mall Security? I have no sympathy for them who now have to live like the rest of us Average Joes who are working at decent jobs, paying our bills, and providing for our children. It's not my fault or Bush's fault those high paying job types outpriced themselves in the job market and have sat on their rears until their benefits ran out.

15 posted on 03/18/2004 6:20:58 AM PST by mtbopfuyn
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To: Lunatic Fringe
I look forward to Dan Blather leading with this story on the CBS News tonight (yeah, right...).

Oh--I forgot--I haven't wathced Rather since 1988...

16 posted on 03/18/2004 6:23:24 AM PST by Pharmboy (History's greatest agent for freedom: The US Armed Forces)
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To: theDentist
"many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook,"


Nobody hires a fry cook without a increased demand for what the fry cook cooks. Where does the increased demand come from if high-paying jobs are declining and low-paying jobs are increasing?
17 posted on 03/18/2004 6:24:12 AM PST by Tricorn
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To: theDentist
Good news, but many of those who were unemployed went from high paying jobs to Fry Cook, Mall Security, or simply lost unemployment benefits.

Hey, Rush Limbaugh likes to say: "Any Job Is a Good Job". The main problem is that minimum wage is too high - we need $1/hour to be able to compete with the Third World.

18 posted on 03/18/2004 6:25:07 AM PST by A. Pole (<SARCASM> The genocide of Albanians was stopped in its tracks before it began.</S>)
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To: Lunatic Fringe
If the Rat assertion is that the unemployment rate merely drops because people are sad pathetic lumps sitting around crying when they fall off the unemployment rolls, why don't we stop extending unemployment benefits? We should be able to get unemployment down to next to nothing if we get all these freeloaders off the public dole.
19 posted on 03/18/2004 6:26:44 AM PST by atomicpossum (Fun pics in my profile)
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To: mtbopfuyn
Are you implying there is something wrong with being a Fry Cook or Mall Security? I have no sympathy for them who now have to live like the rest of us Average Joes who are working at decent jobs, paying our bills, and providing for our children.

When the people with advanced degrees work as "Fry Cook[s] or Mall Security" what the "Average Joes" will do?

20 posted on 03/18/2004 6:27:35 AM PST by A. Pole (<SARCASM> The genocide of Albanians was stopped in its tracks before it began.</S>)
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