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Poll: Kerry, Bush tied in Pennsylvania
AP
| 3/17/04
Posted on 03/17/2004 4:40:44 AM PST by kattracks
WASHINGTON (AP) President Bush and Democrat John Kerry are tied in a two-way presidential race in Pennsylvania, according to a poll out Wednesday. When Ralph Nader is included in the matchup, Bush has a slight lead. Kerry had the backing of 45 percent of Pennsylvania voters and Bush 44 percent in the state narrowly won by Democrat Al Gore in 2000. Pennsylvania has 21 electoral votes.
With the independent candidate Nader involved, Bush has 44 percent, Kerry has 40 percent and Nader has 5 percent in the poll by the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
Bush and Kerry are running close in the Philadelphia suburbs, where Democrat Ed Rendell ran strong in his successful race for governor.
The poll of 1,022 registered voters was taken March 9-15 and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: polls
1
posted on
03/17/2004 4:40:44 AM PST
by
kattracks
To: Dales; Pubbie; deport; eureka!; section9; BlackRazor; GraniteStateConservative; AuH2ORepublican; ...
More good news from PA.
2
posted on
03/17/2004 4:45:28 AM PST
by
Coop
("Hero" is the last four-letter word I'd use to describe John Kerry)
To: Coop
its ealy so we cant get to excited ..but i like it !
3
posted on
03/17/2004 4:47:58 AM PST
by
rrrod
To: kattracks
Don't you love it. They choose the headline of tie, when in a three way race. Bush leads.
4
posted on
03/17/2004 4:50:16 AM PST
by
mware
To: Coop
Coop wasn't Kerry ahead in PA?
Is Kerry beginning to fade?
5
posted on
03/17/2004 4:51:43 AM PST
by
Dog
To: kattracks
110% of the Philly voters will show up as usual and no alarm bells will go off. This guy is incapable of stealing this election he will be in the nut house by the time Nov 2 gets here.
6
posted on
03/17/2004 5:01:06 AM PST
by
boomop1
To: kattracks
People always talk about the shenanigans in Florida. IMO, the real travesty of the 2000 election was Pennsylvania. Donna Brazille earned her pay in that state.
7
posted on
03/17/2004 5:04:46 AM PST
by
The G Man
(John Kerry? America just can't afford a 9/10 President in a 9/11 world. Vote Bush-Cheney '04.)
To: Dog
Coop wasn't Kerry ahead in PA?Not really. All the polls I've seen recently show statistical ties, not unexpected given PA's 2000 voting results. But it's bad news for Kerry given all the focus/positive press on him, and the best he can do is tie the Prez in a swing state Gore won.
8
posted on
03/17/2004 5:11:20 AM PST
by
Coop
("Hero" is the last four-letter word I'd use to describe John Kerry)
To: mware
Don't you love it. They choose the headline of tie, when in a three way race. Bush leads. Exactly. Why doesn't APartisan News Service also show the results if GOP voters forget to vote in November.
To: Coop
Yeah, and Kerry already has an image which isn't so hot.
To: Coop
More bad news
A dork like Kerry shouldn't even get 1%
The American public is a pack of boobs
11
posted on
03/17/2004 5:25:11 AM PST
by
uncbob
To: uncbob
I don't care if the dork is a Republican or Democrat, they're almost automatically going to pull 42-43% of the vote thanks to the letter after his/her name. That's life in a dem republic.
12
posted on
03/17/2004 5:29:00 AM PST
by
Coop
("Hero" is the last four-letter word I'd use to describe John Kerry)
To: mware
Quite honestly, that's the headline I would have used. Nader won't be on the ballot everywhere; he doesn't have the Greens greasing the skids for him this time. Even if he is on the ballot in a given state, I expect Nader's support to collapse in the last few days before the election. That's what happened in 2000. That, combined with the love bomb the Dems dropped on us about the DUI, is why the final outcome was so much closer than the polls were showing.
13
posted on
03/17/2004 5:44:02 AM PST
by
Brandon
To: Coop; Dog
Polling Data:
Date |
Polling Company |
Link |
Type |
MOE |
Republican |
Democrat |
Margin |
5/13/03 |
Quinnipiac |
Link |
952 RV |
3.2% |
Bush |
56% |
Kerry |
34% |
Bush +22 |
10/9/03 |
Quinnipiac |
Link |
1,116 RV |
3% |
Bush |
50% |
Kerry |
43% |
Bush +7 |
11/23/03 |
Muhlenberg College |
Link |
430 RV |
4.7% |
Bush |
47% |
Kerry |
40% |
Bush +7 |
12/14/03 |
Quinnipiac |
Link |
1,092 RV |
3% |
Bush |
50% |
Kerry |
42% |
Bush +8 |
2/18/04 |
Quinnipiac |
Ling |
1,356 RV |
2.7% |
Bush |
45% |
Kerry |
50% |
Dem +5 |
2/22/04 |
Keystone Poll |
Link |
392 RV |
4.9% |
Bush |
46% |
Kerry |
47% |
Dem +1 |
3/3/04 |
Pennsylvania Public Mind |
Link |
1750 Adults |
2.4% |
Bush |
45% |
Kerry |
47% |
Kerry +2 |
3/11/04 |
Survey USA |
Link |
802 RV |
3.5% |
Bush |
47% |
Kerry |
49% |
Kerry +2 |
3/15/04 |
Qunnipiac |
Link |
1,022 RV (Nader not given as an option) |
3 |
Bush |
44% |
Kerry |
45% |
Kerry +1 |
3/15/04 |
Qunnipiac |
Link |
1,022 RV (Nader given as an option) |
3 |
Bush |
44% |
Kerry |
40% |
Bush +4 |
14
posted on
03/17/2004 5:50:56 AM PST
by
Dales
To: Dales; Coop
I was correct......:-)
15
posted on
03/17/2004 5:58:36 AM PST
by
Dog
To: Brandon
"I expect Nader's support to collapse in the last few days before the election. "
Possibly. But here in Dem and union dominated SW PA there are those who for whatever reason will never vote Republican. On the other hand there are many traditional Catholics (like my mother) who will not vote for Kerry because of PBA or Mexico City.
They will vote for Nader if he's on the ballot.
16
posted on
03/17/2004 6:00:03 AM PST
by
Ramcat
(Thank You American Veterans)
To: Dog
I was correctAbout what? I used Dales' chart to refresh my memory before answering you. It shows a steady statistical tie. Or were you talking about something else?
17
posted on
03/17/2004 6:06:47 AM PST
by
Coop
("Hero" is the last four-letter word I'd use to describe John Kerry)
To: kattracks
On a related tangent: did anyone else see Lawrence O'Donnell on Scarborough last night? They were discussing the fact that the NYT buried a poll positive to Bush in the middle of the paper. O'Donnell had the gall to say that the NYT was finally practicing responsible journalism by not overstating the importance of their own polls!
18
posted on
03/17/2004 7:44:10 AM PST
by
Buck W.
To: Coop
"More good news from PA."'Tis good news, albeit way too early to get excited. The real good news is that W is defining Ketchup Boy and has, in less than a week, damaged the nearly year long sheen applied by the presstitutes. In any event, the Rats/Left are desparate and we need to fight like we are 10 points behind everywhere...
19
posted on
03/17/2004 8:10:37 AM PST
by
eureka!
(The shrillness of the left is a good sign.....)
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