1. If Republicans lose this seat, Owens' already tenuous presidential hopes are severely diminished
2. Looks like McInnis and Udall will run
3. If Tancredo runs, he will no longer hold elective office by 2005.
I think you are both right.
Tancredo does not have the best chance of winning and that's one reason why I support McInnis first.
If Tancredo did win the primary his biggest problem would be the leftwing trying to paint him as a racist. Then of course there are the wingnuts on the far, far right who wouldn't be happy because he isn't a racist.