Aren't poll numbers this far out from the presidential election always close?
I too see Bush rolling in November...
Bush's poll numbers are high and encouraging. They aren't being reported.
(Negative psychology at work on the masses?)
One of the factors that pushed Nader into running again was John Kerry.
Nader knows that John Kerry will not be an honest liberal and stand up for liberal ideals and policies.
Nader despises the Democrat Leadership because they will not stand up for what they truly believe in. That is why Nader makes no apologies for playing "spoiler". He feels that the Dems might someday get the message.
Nader actually admires the Republican Leadership for standing up for conservative ideals and policies. He freely criticizes them, but still respects their adherence to ideals.
The "angry" Democrats will walk away from Kerry as the campaign progresses due to his wishy-washy nature and refusal to take a real stand on any single issue.
I write a topical humor service for radio, so I read and write about news for a living and have been doing so for about 13 years. I can assure you that polls this far out are absolutely meaningless. They're so pointless, we have a standing rule that we don't even bother to write jokes about them. (I remember after the '88 Dem Convention, when some polls had Dukakis ahead of Bush by double digits.)
As I've pointed out on these boards before, at this point, Kerry is the very embodiment of the "unknown Democrat" who always pulls about half the vote in every poll, then falls like a rock when someone who's actually known gets plugged into the hole. I'd remind you that two months ago, we were being told that polls showed Howard Dean with a staggering amount of support. Then people took their first look at him and -- YEEAAAAUUUGH!! -- it was all over. Soon, they'll be forced to take a look at Kerry, examine his sorry record and listen to his narcotically boring speeches, and the balloon will quickly deflate. Of course, the "objective" media will do everything they can to pump it back up, but not even they have that much hot air.