IMO, the amendment has about as much chance of being ratified as the ERA did, maybe less.
I followed with care, as a constitutional lawyer, the fate of the ERA. I think, however, the better example is the Madison Amendment that was ratified in 1992, almost two centuries after then-Congressman James Madison wrote it as the second of the 17 original articles of the Bill of Rights. If the marriage gets out of the Senate (and that is the sticking point), I believe it will be promptly ratified by the states.
If the Marriage Amendment does not pass the Senate in this Session of Congress, I expect that it WILL pass the Senate in the next Session, after the membership of that body has changed.
Congressman Billybob
Click here, then click the blue CFR button, to join the anti-CFR effort (or visit the "Hugh & Series, Critical & Pulled by JimRob" thread). Don't delay.
